Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.
- Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
- Referee Nathan MacDonald
- Referee Peter Green
- Referee Adam Fielding
- Referee David Walsh
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Melbourne City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Nov | Perth Glory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Sydney FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Nov | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Brisbane Roar FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 27 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| -9 | GD | +11 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 23% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season
Brisbane Roar FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Brisbane Roar FC
| Justin Vidic | 4 G | 2 A |
| Chris Long | 4 G | 1 A |
| Samuel Klein | 4 G |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Suncorp Stadium. Brisbane Roar FC are looking to make home advantage count against Melbourne Victory FC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Matt McKay has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 13' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kosta Barbarouses on 13.
- 18' Rahmat Akbari has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 19' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Eric Bautheac.
- 21' Eric Bautheac has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 21.
- 24' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Leigh Broxham.
- 27' Magnificent from Adam Taggart! That is 56 goals in 205 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 31' Brisbane Roar FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 32' Ola Toivonen does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
- 37' The 43-year-old Thomas Kristensen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 40' Brisbane Roar FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 40' Keisuke Honda adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 42' Against the run of play, Ola Toivonen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 45' Adam Taggart was booked on 45.
- 45' Kosta Barbarouses with the second goal in the match!
- 47' Goal! Kosta Barbarouses scores his 56 goal in 210 matches.
- 52' Australia international Connor O'Toole has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 62' Henrique Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Lopez on 62 minute.
- 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 70' It’s a booking for Brisbane Roar FC player. Matt McKay gets a Yellow card.
- 75' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 77' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Nick Ansell comes on to replace Thomas Deng.
- 80' Josh Hope is replacing James Troisi for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 87' Dylan Wenzel-Halls is replacing Adam Taggart for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Rahmat Akbari. He replaces Carl Valeri on 88 minute.
- Melbourne Victory FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Brisbane Roar FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 4
- 24
- 2
- 6
- 17
- 7
- 11
- 13
- 9
-
14
Alex Lopez ↓ Henrique Silva 62'
Bench
- 1
- 8
-
26
Nicholas D'Agostino ↑ 62'
-
33
Henrique Silva ↑ 62'
-
23
Dylan Wenzel-Halls ↑ 87'
Coach
John Aloisi
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
10
James Troisi ↓ Josh Hope 81'
- 11
- 3
- 20
-
14
Thomas Deng ↓ Nick Ansell 77'
- 6
-
21
Carl Valeri C ↓ Rahmat Akbari 88'
- 8
- 9
- 2
Bench
- 1
-
16
Josh Hope ↑ 81'
- 13
-
22
Nick Ansell ↑ 77'
-
19
Rahmat Akbari ↑ 88'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosta Barbarouses | 7 |
| Scott McDonald | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 3 |
| Marco Rojas | 2 |
| Riku Danzaki | 2 |
| Andrew Nabbout | 2 |
| Jordan Courtney-Perkins | 1 |
| Jake Brimmer | 1 |
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar FC Form
2018-12-14
Brisbane Roar FC
2–4
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2018-12-09
Newcastle United Jets FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2018-11-30
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2018-11-24
Brisbane Roar FC
2–0
Melbourne City FC
W
2018-11-10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–2
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2018-11-03
Perth Glory FC
2–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2018-12-14
Brisbane Roar FC
2–4
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2018-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-12-01
Melbourne Victory FC
4–0
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2018-11-25
Sydney FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2018-11-11
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2018-11-03
Newcastle United Jets FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.45
Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.41
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%
2 – 4
Actual
Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC
| Handicap | Brisbane Roar FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 20% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

