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Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 6 Oct 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC AugsburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Christof Gunsch
  • Referee Marcel Pelgrim
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Head-to-Head

10
2
4
Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Augsburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct FC Augsburg H 4–3 W
03 Oct AS Monaco FC H 3–0 W
29 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
26 Sep 1. FC Nürnberg H 7–0 W
22 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 3–4 L
30 Sep SC Freiburg H 4–1 W
25 Sep FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
22 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 2–3 L
15 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
01 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC Augsburg
#8 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). FC Augsburg are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' It’s a booking for FC Augsburg player. Daniel Baier gets a Yellow card.
  • 9' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 9 minutes.
  • 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Augsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 19' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' Magnificent from Alfred Finnbogason! That is 24 goals in 101 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 27' FC Augsburg have won 387 goals from 433 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' Poor challenge from Andre Hahn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 47' Borussia Dortmund currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Reus argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 54' The referee shows FC Augsburg player a Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' That is a Yellow card for FC Augsburg. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' Fresh legs for BV Borussia 09 Dortmund! Paco Alcacer comes on to replace Maximilian Philipp.
  • 62' Paco Alcacer does the damage! The net is bulging and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund surge ahead!
  • 63' Caiuby has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 63.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Daniel Baier as he leaves the pitch. Felix Gotze steps in for FC Augsburg.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Raphael Guerreiro. He replaces Jacob Bruun Larsen on 69 minute.
  • 71' Magnificent from Philipp Max! That is 23 goals in 433 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 75' Andre Hahn makes way for Jan Moravek at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Augsburg.
  • 77' Mario Gotze is ready to make an impact after coming on for Julian Weigl at the 77 minute mark.
  • 79' Alfred Finnbogason was booked on 79.
  • 80' Paco Alcacer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
  • 83' It is a substitution in FC Augsburg team. Alfred Finnbogason is replaced by Sergio Cordova on 83 minute.
  • 84' A stunning finish from Mario Gotze — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 87' Magnificent from Michael Gregoritsch! That is 59 goals in 433 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' Magnificent from Paco Alcacer! That is 51 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Sergio Cordova.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 FC Augsburg xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund57% Draw23% FC Augsburg20%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
81%
Draw or FC Augsburg
43%
Borussia Dortmund or FC Augsburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund40% Draw43% FC Augsburg17%
Actual: FC Augsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC Augsburg covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
34%
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.