Sunday , 15 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,544 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kieran Dowell pen 27' 1–0
Seung-Ho Paik 47' 2–0
2–1 90+4' Jake Young

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Stevenage FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Alan Young
  • Assistant 1 Mark Cunliffe
  • Assistant 2 Richard Wigglesworth

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Birmingham City FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Mansfield Town FC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–2 L
22 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/5
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Josh Magennis 3 G 4 A
Daniel Kemp 3 G 2 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Birmingham City FC launch into their encounter with Stevenage FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 166 games and scored 148 goals.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at St Andrew's Ground. Stevenage FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Stevenage FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Louis Appere has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 27' The deadlock is broken! Kieran Dowell gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 37' Jamie Reid needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 42' Birmingham City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Stevenage FC's shape.
  • 46' Alfie May is replacing Emil Hansson for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 47' Seung-Ho Paik has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 47 minutes.
  • 52' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Birmingham City FC and Stevenage FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' Tomoki Iwata has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
  • 63' Tomoki Iwata makes way for Marc Leonard at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Birmingham City FC.
  • 64' Jay Stansfield was booked on 64.
  • 66' Stevenage FC make a change. Brandon Hanlan trudges off to be replaced by Louis Appere on 66 minutes.
  • 69' The whistle greets Jay Stansfield as he departs to be replaced by Keshi Anderson.
  • 70' The whistle greets Alfons Sampsted as he departs to be replaced by Krystian Bielik.
  • 75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Stevenage FC — Harvey White on, Louis Thompson off on 76 minutes.
  • 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chris Davies might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 86' It looks surprising Stevenage FC does not make any changes. Emil Hansson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryan Allsop.
  • 90' Grant Hanley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alfie May on 90 minute.
  • 2-1 the final result. Stevenage FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC50% Draw27% Stevenage FC23%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Stevenage FC
50%
Birmingham City FC or Stevenage FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC32% Draw50% Stevenage FC18%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.