Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,544 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kieran Dowell pen 27' 1–0
Seung-Ho Paik 47' 2–0
2–1 90+4' Jake Young

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Stevenage FCLeague One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Alan Young
  • Assistant 1 Mark Cunliffe
  • Assistant 2 Richard Wigglesworth

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Birmingham City FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Mansfield Town FC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–2 L
22 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds St Andrew's Ground will turn into a battlefield for Birmingham City FC and Stevenage FC.
  • 5' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Birmingham City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' What a strike from Kieran Dowell! The score is 1-0.
  • 32' Daniel Phillips has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Charlie Goode has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Emil Hansson by Alfie May on 46 minute.
  • 47' Goal! Seung-Ho Paik scores his 5 goal in 9 matches.
  • 52' The travelling Stevenage FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomoki Iwata on 61.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Tomoki Iwata is replaced by Marc Leonard.
  • 64' Jay Stansfield was booked on 64.
  • 66' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Louis Appere is hanging Brandon Hanlan on the field on 66 minute.
  • 69' Keshi Anderson is replacing Jay Stansfield for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 70' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Krystian Bielik is hanging Alfons Sampsted on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' Stevenage FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 76' Harvey White has so much to prove this time. He replaces Louis Thompson on 76 minute.
  • 81' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 156 games and scored 133 goals.
  • 90' Ryan Allsop was booked on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Alfie May as he departs to be replaced by Grant Hanley.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Birmingham City FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC50% Draw27% Stevenage FC23%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Stevenage FC
50%
Birmingham City FC or Stevenage FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC32% Draw50% Stevenage FC18%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.