Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC LNER Stadium 8,220 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Stevenage FC — League One at LNER Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Tallis (England)
  • Assistant 1 Wayne Grunnill
  • Assistant 2 Steve Durnall (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Stevenage FC H 0–0 D
01 Jan Rotherham United FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–3 L
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Reading FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Northampton Town FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–3 L
21 Dec Blackpool FC A 0–0 D
14 Dec Stockport County FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Daniel Kemp 3 G 1 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G
Josh Magennis 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at LNER Stadium. Lincoln City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Stevenage FC.
  • 5' Lincoln City FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Ethan Erhahon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lincoln City FC so far.
  • 15' Jordan Roberts is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lincoln City FC tonight.
  • 20' Lincoln City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stevenage FC backline.
  • 25' Stevenage FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at LNER Stadium. Lincoln City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' Lincoln City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Stevenage FC's shape.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 160 games and scored 137 goals.
  • 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
  • 75' England international Nathan Thompson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 80' Paudie O'Connor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' It looks surprising Stevenage FC does not make any changes. Luther Wildin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' The 24-year-old Harvey White has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.77 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Lincoln City FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC36% Draw38% Stevenage FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Stevenage FC
64%
Lincoln City FC or Stevenage FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC20% Draw64% Stevenage FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.2%
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
1.7%
2 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
1.3%
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 22% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 18% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.