Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 22,395 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Collins 36' 1–0
Jay Matete 50' 2–0
Jay Matete 66' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Lincoln City FCLeague One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Wyatt (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Barnsley FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
14 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Mansfield Town FC H 3–1 W
26 Nov Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–3 L
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Reading FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–2 D
07 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 0–0 D
03 Dec Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bolton Wanderers FC Lincoln City FC
#5 Position #1
75 Points 103
46 Played 46
19 / 18 / 9 W / D / L 31 / 10 / 5
70 Scored 89
52 Conceded 41
+18 GD +48
1.63 PPG 2.24
41% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bolton Wanderers FC are 5th (75 pts). Lincoln City FC are 1st (103 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC51% Draw25% Lincoln City FC24%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
49%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Lincoln City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bolton Wanderers FC34% Draw46% Lincoln City FC20%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.