Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 22,395 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Collins 36' 1–0
Jay Matete 50' 2–0
Jay Matete 66' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Lincoln City FCLeague One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Wyatt (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jake Topp (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Barnsley FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
14 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Mansfield Town FC H 3–1 W
26 Nov Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–3 L
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Reading FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–2 D
07 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 0–0 D
03 Dec Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bolton Wanderers FC Lincoln City FC
#3 Position #1
75 Points 103
46 Played 46
19 / 18 / 9 W / D / L 31 / 10 / 5
70 Scored 89
52 Conceded 41
+18 GD +48
1.63 PPG 2.24
41% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bolton Wanderers FC are 3rd (75 pts). Lincoln City FC are 1st (103 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bolton Wanderers FC and Lincoln City FC get this one started.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Bolton Wanderers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Lincoln City FC is showing some good football. However, Lincoln City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a card for Conor McGrandles.
  • 23' Lincoln City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Collins suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' The deadlock is broken! Aaron Collins gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' The referee has no hesitation. Paudie O'Connor is booked for Lincoln City FC — card on 44.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Erhahon is booked for Lincoln City FC — card on 45.
  • 50' GOAL! Jay Matete scores on 50. Assisted by Klaidi Lolos
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' The whistle greets Bailey Cadamarteri as he departs to be replaced by Tom Bayliss.
  • 63' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Eoin Toal exits the field as Will Forrester enters on 63.
  • 66' What a strike from Jay Matete! The score is 3-0.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Lincoln City FC! Jovon Makama comes on to replace Ben House.
  • 72' Ireland international Paudie O'Connor has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 73' The whistle greets Josh Dacres-Cogley as he departs to be replaced by Dion Charles.
  • 78' Ben House is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bolton Wanderers FC so far.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC. Klaidi Lolos is replaced by Carlos Mendes Gomes.
  • 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 89' It is a cagey affair so far. Bolton Wanderers FC in their trying to find a way past Lincoln City FC's compact .
  • It finishes all square. Bolton Wanderers FC and Lincoln City FC share the spoils 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC51% Draw25% Lincoln City FC24%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
49%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Lincoln City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bolton Wanderers FC34% Draw46% Lincoln City FC20%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.