Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

3 – 0

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sun 8 Apr 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.61

Draw 4.00

FC Erzgebirge Aue 5.50

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2017-11-17 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-04-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2015-11-29 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	3–0	W
31 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–6	L
18 Mar	1. FC Nürnberg	H	1–0	W
11 Mar	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–2	W
03 Mar	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	MSV Duisburg	H	1–1	D

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–3	L
31 Mar	TuS Dassendorf	H	1–1	D
16 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
11 Mar	TuS Erndtebruck	H	0–0	D
04 Mar	Karlsruher SC	A	3–2	W
24 Feb	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Bayer 04 Leverkusen welcome FC Erzgebirge Aue for this crunch clash at .
The points are shared — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-0 FC Erzgebirge Aue. Honours even.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2018-04-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-03-31 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2018-03-18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FC Nürnberg W 2018-03-11 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 FC Hansa Rostock W 2018-03-03 TuS Erndtebruck 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2018-02-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-04-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-03-31 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 TuS Dassendorf D 2018-03-16 Hamburger SV 1–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-03-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 TuS Erndtebruck D 2018-03-04 Karlsruher SC 2–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-02-24 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 FC Hansa Rostock W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.89 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 56% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen56% Draw24% FC Erzgebirge Aue20%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.93

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

80%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

44%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Erzgebirge Aue

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen40% Draw43% FC Erzgebirge Aue17%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.3%

1 – 0

9.3%

0 – 0

3 – 1

3 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.2%

4 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	23%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.