Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2017

1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017
Hamburger SV
1 – 2
Full Time
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Fri 16 Mar 2018 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 2.62
Draw 3.20
FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.79

Head-to-Head

1
3
Hamburger SV 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue
Last 5 meetings
2018-03-16 Hamburger SV 1–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2017-10-29 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–0 Hamburger SV 2015-04-25 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–2 Hamburger SV 2014-11-28 Hamburger SV 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar FC Erzgebirge Aue H 1–2 L
10 Mar SV Sandhausen 1916 A 0–0 D
04 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 0–4 L
24 Feb SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen A 1–1 D
17 Feb Wroxham FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–2 L
FC Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
11 Mar TuS Erndtebruck H 0–0 D
04 Mar Karlsruher SC A 3–2 W
24 Feb FC Hansa Rostock H 1–0 W
18 Feb MSV Duisburg A 1–0 W
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2018-03-16 Hamburger SV 1–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2017-10-29 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–0 Hamburger SV 2015-04-25 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–2 Hamburger SV 2014-11-28 Hamburger SV 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Hamburger SV Form

2018-03-16 Hamburger SV 1–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-03-10 SV Sandhausen 1916 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2018-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-02-24 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2018-02-17 Hamburger SV 1–0 Wroxham FC W 2018-02-10 1. FC Nurnberg 2–1 Hamburger SV L

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-03-16 Hamburger SV 1–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-03-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 TuS Erndtebruck D 2018-03-04 Karlsruher SC 2–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-02-24 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 FC Hansa Rostock W 2018-02-18 MSV Duisburg 0–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV25% Draw26% FC Erzgebirge Aue49%
Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
51%
Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue
75%
Hamburger SV or FC Erzgebirge Aue
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV19% Draw44% FC Erzgebirge Aue37%
Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
9%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.