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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs AEK Larnaka, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 4 Oct 2018 · 16:55 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs AEK LarnakaEurope .

Match Details

  • Referee Anatolii Abdula
  • Referee Vitalii Romanov
  • Referee Serhii Bekker
  • Referee Yevhen Aranovskyi
  • Referee Oleh Pluzhnyk

Head-to-Head

2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 games · Avg 6.0 goals AEK Larnaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–4 L
20 Sep FC Zurich H 0–1 L
30 Aug AS Trencin H 3–0 W
23 Aug AS Trencin A 1–1 D
16 Aug SK Sturm Graz H 5–0 W
09 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score. At the same time, AEK Larnaka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AEK Larnaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Ivan Trickovski is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nacho Cases is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and AEK Larnaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' Mikel Gonzalez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 41.
  • 44' GOAL! Kai Havertz scores on 44. Assisted by Karim Bellarabi
  • 46' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Leon Bailey trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Alario on 46 minutes.
  • 49' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Alario on 49.
  • 51' Dominik Kohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
  • 52' AEK Larnaka receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 58' The referee shows Bayer 04 Leverkusen player a Yellow card on 58.
  • 63' The energy levels are beginning to show. Heiko Herrlich might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 67' AEK Larnaka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 67' Tete gets the nod from AEK Larnaka. He replaces Joan Tomas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Kai Havertz by Julian Brandt on 70 minute.
  • 75' AEK Larnaka is showing some good football. However, AEK Larnaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' That is a Yellow card for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Karim Bellarabi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 79.
  • 82' Another change for AEK Larnaka made on 82 minute. Nacho Cases leaves to be changed by Jean Luc Assoubre.
  • 83' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Dominik Kohr has done his job and it is now time for Tin Jedvaj to step up.
  • 86' Sven Bender was booked on 86.
  • 88' Lucas Alario does the damage! The net is bulging and Bayer 04 Leverkusen surge ahead!
  • 89' Dimitris Raspas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Apostolos Giannou at the 89 minute mark.
  • 90' A goal from the Cyprus international Dimitris Raspas! He fires home on 90 to make it 3-2!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Bayer 04 Leverkusen take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 AEK Larnaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen53% Draw22% AEK Larnaka25%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
75%
Draw or AEK Larnaka
47%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or AEK Larnaka
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39% Draw39% AEK Larnaka22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push AEK Larnaka covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 20% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
22%
AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.