Thursday , 2 July 2026

Austin FC vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Q2 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct St. Louis City H 1–3 L
28 Sep Real Salt Lake A 1–3 L
21 Sep Seattle Sounders FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep FC Dallas A 0–2 L
07 Sep Sporting Kansas City A 2–1 W
31 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Austin FC A 3–1 W
28 Sep Los Angeles FC H 0–3 L
21 Sep San Jose Earthquakes A 3–1 W
13 Sep Montreal Impact FC A 2–0 W
07 Sep FC Dallas H 1–1 D
31 Aug Houston Dynamo H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Austin FC St. Louis City
#29 Position #27
14 Points 16
15 Played 14
3 / 5 / 7 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 6
19 Scored 16
31 Conceded 20
-12 GD -4
0.93 PPG 1.14
20% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season

Austin FC are 29th (14 pts). St. Louis City are 27th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Austin FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
4/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Austin FC host St. Louis City — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Myrto Uzuni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcel Hartel made 435 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Austin FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Tomas Ostrak needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 28' The deadlock is broken! Marcel Hartel gets on the scoresheet on 28 minutes.
  • 33' USA international Brad Stuver has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' It’s a booking for St. Louis City player. Alfredo Morales gets a card.
  • 36' What composure from Oleksandr Svatok! The Ukraine international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 41' It looks surprising Austin FC does not make any changes. Brendan McSorley has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' The referee shows Austin FC player a card on 43.
  • 45' Assisted by Celio Pompeu with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marcel Hartel makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 50' Austin FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' St. Louis City come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Diego Rubio is replacing Besard Sabovic for the Austin FC side.
  • 61' Austin FC have won 263 goals from 188 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 64' Mykhi Joyner gets the nod from St. Louis City. He replaces Sang-bin Jeong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Another change for Austin FC made on 69 minute. Ilie Sanchez leaves to be changed by CJ Fodrey.
  • 72' It’s a booking for St. Louis City player. Brendan McSorley gets a card.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' St. Louis City manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Simon Becher is hanging Klauss on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' Austin FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' That is a card for Austin FC. Robert Taylor will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Tomas Ostrak is replacing Marcel Hartel for the St. Louis City side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 Austin FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 St. Louis City xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Austin FC28% Draw26% St. Louis City46%
Actual: St. Louis City win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Austin FC or Draw
54%
Draw or St. Louis City
72%
Austin FC or St. Louis City
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Austin FC21% Draw42% St. Louis City37%
Actual: St. Louis City win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Austin FC

Handicap Austin FC covers Push St. Louis City covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Austin FC keeps clean sheet
16%
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.