Sunday , 16 August 2026

Austin FC vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Q2 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct St. Louis City H 1–3 L
28 Sep Real Salt Lake A 1–3 L
21 Sep Seattle Sounders FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep FC Dallas A 0–2 L
07 Sep Sporting Kansas City A 2–1 W
31 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Austin FC A 3–1 W
28 Sep Los Angeles FC H 0–3 L
21 Sep San Jose Earthquakes A 3–1 W
13 Sep Montreal Impact FC A 2–0 W
07 Sep FC Dallas H 1–1 D
31 Aug Houston Dynamo H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Austin FC St. Louis City
#29 Position #22
17 Points 26
18 Played 18
4 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
22 Scored 24
36 Conceded 24
-14 GD +0
0.94 PPG 1.44
22% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
16% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season

Austin FC are 29th (17 pts). St. Louis City are 22nd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Austin FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
6/13
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/3
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Austin FC
Myrto Uzuni 6 G
Christian Ramirez 5 G 1 A
St. Louis City
Marcel Hartel 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. St. Louis City kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' St. Louis City is showing some good football. However, St. Louis City are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Totland suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' What composure from Marcel Hartel! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 33' Simon Becher is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for St. Louis City so far.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Alfredo Morales on 34 minutes earns him a card. St. Louis City will be frustrated.
  • 36' Oleksandr Svatok adds to his 0 season tally! Austin FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Besard Sabovic, as he is very good at scoring at Q2 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Ilie Sanchez. He receives a card.
  • 45' Marcel Hartel with the second goal in the match!
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' Austin FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Fresh legs for Austin FC! Diego Rubio comes on to replace Besard Sabovic.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with St. Louis City winning 50% of all matches.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Sang-bin Jeong as he leaves the pitch. Mykhi Joyner steps in for St. Louis City.
  • 69' The whistle greets Ilie Sanchez as he departs to be replaced by CJ Fodrey.
  • 72' It’s gonna be a card for Brendan McSorley.
  • 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Roman Burki made 521 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' St. Louis City ring the changes. Klauss has done his job and it is now time for Simon Becher to step up.
  • 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. Austin FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' Henry Kessler has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robert Taylor on 90 minutes.
  • 90' A tactical swap from St. Louis CityTomas Ostrak on, Marcel Hartel off on 90 minutes.
  • Austin FC will have plenty to reflect on. St. Louis City were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Austin FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 St. Louis City xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Austin FC26% Draw26% St. Louis City48%
Actual: St. Louis City win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Austin FC or Draw
52%
Draw or St. Louis City
74%
Austin FC or St. Louis City
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Austin FC19% Draw41% St. Louis City40%
Actual: St. Louis City win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Austin FC

Handicap Austin FC covers Push St. Louis City covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 21% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Austin FC keeps clean sheet
14%
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.