Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia UnionMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee M. de Oliveira
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Philadelphia Union H 3–1 W
08 Mar Real Salt Lake H 2–3 L
01 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 0–2 L
21 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
18 Oct D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
11 Oct Internacional CF Miami A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Atlanta United FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar San Jose Earthquakes H 0–1 L
01 Mar New York City FC H 1–2 L
22 Feb D.C. United SC A 0–1 L
18 Oct Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
04 Oct New York City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC Philadelphia Union
#15 Position #13
12 Points 16
18 Played 18
3 / 3 / 12 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 10
19 Scored 25
33 Conceded 33
-14 GD -8
0.67 PPG 0.89
17% Win % 22%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 8 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC44% Draw26% Philadelphia Union30%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
56%
Atlanta United FC or Philadelphia Union
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC31% Draw44% Philadelphia Union25%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.