Thursday , 1 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Stevenage FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 8 Jan 2023 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Stevenage FC — FA Cup at Villa Park.

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
04 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
13 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–1 W
06 Nov Manchester United FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov King's Lynn Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Gateshead FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L
29 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Villa Park!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stevenage FC backline.
  • 15' Stevenage FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' Against the run of play, Morgan Sanson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 38' It looks surprising Stevenage FC does not make any changes. Jamie Reid has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their trying to find a way past Stevenage FC's compact .
  • 48' Stevenage FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' Danny Ings, a England centre-forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' Stevenage FC is showing some good football. However, Stevenage FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 63' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jamie Reid is hanging Danny Rose on the field on 63 minute.
  • 66' Emiliano Buendia is replacing Philippe Coutinho for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 67' Jacob Ramsey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Morgan Sanson at the 67 minute mark.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Stevenage FC — Kane Smith on, Jake Taylor off on 68 minutes.
  • 71' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Matty Cash has done his job and it is now time for Ashley Young to step up.
  • 72' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Danny Ings departs to be replaced by Ollie Watkins.
  • 77' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Digne. He replaces Ludwig Augustinsson on 81 minute.
  • 83' Another change for Stevenage FC made on 83 minute. Terence Vancooten leaves to be changed by Michael Bostwick.
  • 85' Leander Dendoncker catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 85.
  • 88' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie Reid makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 90' Sensational shot from Dean Campbell. Stevenage FC is back in the lead.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Stevenage FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Stevenage FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC30% Draw28% Stevenage FC42%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Stevenage FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Stevenage FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC22% Draw45% Stevenage FC33%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.