Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2024-25
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Villa Park 40,175 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marco Asensio 68' 1–0
Marco Asensio 80' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Villa Park.

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
19 Feb Liverpool FC H 2–2 D
15 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
09 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
25 Feb Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
22 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
08 Feb Stoke City FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Aston Villa FC and Cardiff City FC is underway.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cardiff City FC backline.
  • 15' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joel Bagan suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' The travelling Cardiff City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yousef Salech made 17 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Yousef Salech. He replaces Callum Robinson on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Cardiff City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Anwar El Ghazi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 61' Cardiff City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 64' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joel Bagan is hanging Luey Giles on the field on 64 minute.
  • 65' Alex Robertson gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Aaron Ramsey and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marco Asensio on 68.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cardiff City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' Jamaica international Leon Bailey has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 80' Brilliant from the ! Marco Asensio makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 80.
  • 81' Another change for Cardiff City FC made on 81 minute. Dylan Lawlor leaves to be changed by Isaak Davies.
  • 82' Chris Willock makes way for Cian Ashford at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cardiff City FC.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Aston Villa FC take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw26% Cardiff City FC20%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Cardiff City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC37% Draw48% Cardiff City FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.