Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Astana FK vs PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad, Europe 2023-24 ROUND 3

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Tue 8 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Astana Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 2–1 W
02 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
25 Jul GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–4 L
19 Jul FC Dinamo Tbilisi A 2–1 W
12 Jul FC Dinamo Tbilisi H 1–1 D
17 Sep FK Buducnost Podgorica H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug Astana FK A 1–2 L
01 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 1–2 L
26 Jul NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
19 Jul Ballkani H 4–0 W
11 Jul Ballkani A 0–2 L
03 Nov AS Roma A 1–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Astana FK and PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad get this one started.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Astana FK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Astana FK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad's shape.
  • 25' Yan Vorogovskiy is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Astana FK tonight.
  • 30' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 34' Goal! Noah Sundberg scores his 1 goal in 8 matches.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' GOAL! Zarko Tomasevic scores on 40. Assisted by Stjepan Loncar
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 47' Poor challenge from Claude Goncalves. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Astana FK must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 53' Aleksandr Marochkin doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' The Astana FK manager makes a substitution. Abat Aimbetov departs to be replaced by Timur Dosmagambetov.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Abzal Beysebekov argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 66' Time for substitution for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad. Bernhard Tekpetey is replaced by Caio Vidal.
  • 71' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 75' A change in the Astana FK ranks — Maks Ebong exits the field as Dusan Jovancic enters on 75.
  • 78' Pedro Naressi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jakub Piotrowski on 78 minute.
  • 83' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 84' Dembo Darboe makes way for Elkhan Astanov at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Astana FK.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Olivier Verdon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Zarko Tomasevic is booked for Astana FK — card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Astana FK to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 Astana FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK47% Draw27% PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad26%
Actual: Astana FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Astana FK or Draw
74%
Draw or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
53%
Astana FK or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK31% Draw48% PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Astana FK

Handicap Astana FK covers Push PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Astana FK keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.