Thursday , 2 July 2026

Astana FK vs PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad, Europe 2023-24 ROUND 3

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Tue 8 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Astana Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 2–1 W
02 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
25 Jul GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–4 L
19 Jul FC Dinamo Tbilisi A 2–1 W
12 Jul FC Dinamo Tbilisi H 1–1 D
17 Sep FK Buducnost Podgorica H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug Astana FK A 1–2 L
01 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 1–2 L
26 Jul NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
19 Jul Ballkani H 4–0 W
11 Jul Ballkani A 0–2 L
03 Nov AS Roma A 1–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Astana FK to score. At the same time, PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Astana FK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Claude Goncalves suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The travelling PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' GOAL! Noah Sundberg scores on 34. Assisted by Kiril Despodov
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' What a strike from Zarko Tomasevic! The score is 1-1.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Olivier Verdon, as he is very good at scoring at Astana Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 47' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
  • 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 53' What a strike from Aleksandr Marochkin! The score is 2-1.
  • 58' Astana FK is showing some good football. However, Astana FK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Timur Dosmagambetov. He replaces Abat Aimbetov on 61 minute.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Abzal Beysebekov on 66.
  • 66' It is a substitution in PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad team. Bernhard Tekpetey is replaced by Caio Vidal on 66 minute.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 75' Dusan Jovancic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maks Ebong on 75 minute.
  • 78' It is a substitution in PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad team. Jakub Piotrowski is replaced by Pedro Naressi on 78 minute.
  • 83' It looks surprising PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad does not make any changes. Abat Aimbetov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 84' Elkhan Astanov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dembo Darboe on 84 minute.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Olivier Verdon.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Zarko Tomasevic.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 Astana FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK47% Draw27% PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad26%
Actual: Astana FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Astana FK or Draw
74%
Draw or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
53%
Astana FK or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK31% Draw48% PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Astana FK

Handicap Astana FK covers Push PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Astana FK keeps clean sheet
33%
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.