Thursday , 2 July 2026

Astana FK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 2

Wed 2 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Astana Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Astana FK vs GNK Dinamo ZagrebChampions League Q at Astana Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
25 Jul GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–4 L
19 Jul FC Dinamo Tbilisi A 2–1 W
12 Jul FC Dinamo Tbilisi H 1–1 D
17 Sep FK Buducnost Podgorica H 0–1 L
12 Dec FK Partizan Beograd A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Aug Astana FK A 2–0 W
25 Jul Astana FK H 4–0 W
02 Nov Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct AC Milan H 0–4 L
11 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–1 D
05 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Astana FK to score. At the same time, GNK Dinamo Zagreb does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The travelling GNK Dinamo Zagreb supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Astana FK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 24' Astana FK is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aleksandr Marochkin on 24.
  • 29' Astana FK is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' Antonio Marin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. GNK Dinamo Zagreb needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' Astana FK manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Timur Dosmagambetov is hanging Aleksa Amanovic on the field on 41 minute.
  • 45' Astana FK receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Sadegh Moharrami needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josip Sutalo, as he is very good at scoring at Astana Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 67' Time for substitution for GNK Dinamo Zagreb. Josip Sutalo is replaced by Maxime Bernauer.
  • 68' It is a substitution in GNK Dinamo Zagreb team. Bruno Petkovic is replaced by Antonio Marin on 68 minute.
  • 69' The Astana FK manager makes a substitution. Abat Aimbetov departs to be replaced by Elkhan Astanov.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dario Spikic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' GNK Dinamo Zagreb manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Martin Baturina is hanging Robert Ljubicic on the field on 78 minute.
  • 79' Time for substitution for GNK Dinamo Zagreb. Mahir Emreli is replaced by Josip Drmic.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 89' What a strike from Antonio Marin! The score is 1-1.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Dario Spikic.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 Astana FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Astana FK23% Draw29% GNK Dinamo Zagreb48%
Actual: GNK Dinamo Zagreb win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Astana FK or Draw
53%
Draw or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
77%
Astana FK or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Astana FK16% Draw51% GNK Dinamo Zagreb33%
Actual: GNK Dinamo Zagreb win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Astana FK

Handicap Astana FK covers Push GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 24% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Astana FK keeps clean sheet
25%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.