Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Fri 27 Jan 2023 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC — FA Cup at Etihad Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
22 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
19 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–2 W
14 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–0 W
05 Jan Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
22 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–2 W
15 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
09 Jan Oxford United FC A 3–0 W
03 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
31 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A
Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Arsenal FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Manchester City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' With 2 assists to his name this season, Erling Haaland is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Arsenal FC.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Manchester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Etihad Stadium. Arsenal FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Manchester City FC in their trying to find a way past Arsenal FC's compact .
  • 42' That is a Yellow card for Arsenal FC. Rob Holding will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' Time for substitution for Manchester City FC. John Stones is replaced by Aymeric Laporte.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Rob Holding as he leaves the pitch. William Saliba steps in for Arsenal FC.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Julian Alvarez. He replaces Riyad Mahrez on 58 minute.
  • 63' The 25-year-old Bukayo Saka has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' GOAL! Nathan Ake fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 66' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Martinelli is hanging Leandro Trossard on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' Martin Odegaard is replacing Bukayo Saka for the Arsenal FC side.
  • 75' Bukayo Saka makes way for Martin Odegaard at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Arsenal FC.
  • 80' Arsenal FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Manchester City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' Arsenal FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • It finishes all square. Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC54% Draw26% Arsenal FC20%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Arsenal FC
46%
Manchester City FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC36% Draw47% Arsenal FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.