Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Fri 27 Jan 2023 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FCFA Cup at Etihad Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
22 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
19 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–2 W
14 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–0 W
05 Jan Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
22 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–2 W
15 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
09 Jan Oxford United FC A 3–0 W
03 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
31 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A
Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Etihad Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arteta might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Arsenal FC is showing some good football. However, Arsenal FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Stefan Ortega Moreno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' Erling Haaland, a Norway , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' The travelling Arsenal FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Etihad Stadium. Arsenal FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' Arsenal FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 45' Aymeric Laporte has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Stones on 45 minute.
  • 46' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. William Saliba is hanging Rob Holding on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The 35-year-old Ilkay Gundogan has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 58' Fresh legs for Manchester City FC! Julian Alvarez comes on to replace Riyad Mahrez.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 414 games and scored 725 goals.
  • 64' GOAL! Nathan Ake scores on 64.
  • 66' A change in the Arsenal FC ranks — Leandro Trossard exits the field as Martinelli enters on 66.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from John Stones, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 12 goals in the last 11 games.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Bukayo Saka as he leaves the pitch. Martin Odegaard steps in for Arsenal FC.
  • 75' Martin Odegaard is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bukayo Saka at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' Arsenal FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Oleksandr Zinchenko is booked for Arsenal FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC54% Draw26% Arsenal FC20%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Arsenal FC
46%
Manchester City FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC36% Draw47% Arsenal FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.