Saturday , 14 November 2026

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Fri 27 Jan 2023 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC — FA Cup at Etihad Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
22 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
19 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–2 W
14 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–0 W
05 Jan Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
22 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–2 W
15 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
09 Jan Oxford United FC A 3–0 W
03 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
31 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Manchester City FC welcome Arsenal FC for this crunch clash at Etihad Stadium.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Arsenal FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Manchester City FC in their trying to find a way past Arsenal FC's compact .
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Manchester City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Arsenal FC's shape.
  • 42' It’s a booking for Arsenal FC player. Rob Holding gets a Yellow card.
  • 45' The crowd applauds John Stones as he leaves the pitch. Aymeric Laporte steps in for Manchester City FC.
  • 46' William Saliba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rob Holding on 46 minute.
  • 51' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rico Lewis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Another change for Manchester City FC made on 58 minute. Riyad Mahrez leaves to be changed by Julian Alvarez.
  • 63' It looks surprising Manchester City FC does not make any changes. Riyad Mahrez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 64' Goal! Nathan Ake scores his 16 goal in 349 matches.
  • 66' A change in the Arsenal FC ranks — Leandro Trossard exits the field as Martinelli enters on 66.
  • 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 74' The Arsenal FC bench stirs into life. Bukayo Saka is withdrawn and Martin Odegaard gets his opportunity.
  • 75' The whistle greets Bukayo Saka as he departs to be replaced by Martin Odegaard.
  • 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 90' Oleksandr Zinchenko is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Manchester City FC 1-0 Arsenal FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC54% Draw26% Arsenal FC20%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Arsenal FC
46%
Manchester City FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC36% Draw47% Arsenal FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.