Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Manchester City FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Arsenal FC
Fri 27 Jan 2023 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 42' Rob Holding
Y 90' Oleksandr Zinchenko
Ilkay Gundogan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Arsenal FC — FA Cup at Etihad Stadium.

Head-to-Head

12
3
3
Manchester City FC 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Arsenal FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-27 Manchester City FC 1–0 Arsenal FC 2022-01-01 Arsenal FC 1–2 Manchester City FC 2021-08-28 Manchester City FC 5–0 Arsenal FC 2021-02-21 Arsenal FC 0–1 Manchester City FC 2020-10-17 Manchester City FC 1–0 Arsenal FC

Recent Form

Manchester City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
22 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
19 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–2 W
14 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–0 W
05 Jan Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
Arsenal FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
22 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–2 W
15 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
09 Jan Oxford United FC A 3–0 W
03 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
31 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A
Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Etihad Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' John Stones has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 436 appearances.
  • 20' Manchester City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Manchester City FC that had 436 games and scored 1020 goals.
  • 35' It’s high time Pep Guardiola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 42' The referee shows Arsenal FC player a Yellow card on 42.
  • 45' Time for substitution for Manchester City FC. John Stones is replaced by Aymeric Laporte.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Arsenal FC team. Rob Holding is replaced by William Saliba on 46 minute.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' Manchester City FC ring the changes. Riyad Mahrez has done his job and it is now time for Julian Alvarez to step up.
  • 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
  • 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nathan Ake makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 66' The whistle greets Leandro Trossard as he departs to be replaced by Martinelli.
  • 71' Manchester City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 74' Bukayo Saka makes way for Martin Odegaard at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Arsenal FC.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Arsenal FC — Martin Odegaard on, Bukayo Saka off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' USA international Matt Turner has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Arsenal FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

Arsenal FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arteta

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kevin De Bruyne 6
Raheem Sterling 5
Erling Haaland 5
Sergio Aguero 3
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 2
John Stones 2
Ferran Torres 2
Rodri 2

Head to Head

2023-01-27 Manchester City FC 1–0 Arsenal FC 2022-01-01 Arsenal FC 1–2 Manchester City FC 2021-08-28 Manchester City FC 5–0 Arsenal FC 2021-02-21 Arsenal FC 0–1 Manchester City FC 2020-10-17 Manchester City FC 1–0 Arsenal FC

Manchester City FC Form

2023-01-27 Manchester City FC 1–0 Arsenal FC W 2023-01-22 Manchester City FC 3–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 2023-01-19 Manchester City FC 4–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2023-01-14 Manchester United FC 2–1 Manchester City FC L 2023-01-08 Manchester City FC 4–0 Chelsea FC W 2023-01-05 Chelsea FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W

Arsenal FC Form

2023-01-27 Manchester City FC 1–0 Arsenal FC L 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC W 2023-01-15 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–2 Arsenal FC W 2023-01-09 Oxford United FC 0–3 Arsenal FC W 2023-01-03 Arsenal FC 0–0 Newcastle United FC D 2022-12-31 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–4 Arsenal FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC54% Draw26% Arsenal FC20%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Arsenal FC
46%
Manchester City FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC36% Draw47% Arsenal FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.