Argentina vs Ecuador, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Argentina vs Ecuador — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Argentina to score. At the same time, Ecuador does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Argentina in their trying to find a way past Ecuador's compact .
- 10' Ecuador started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Argentina and Ecuador are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Angelo Preciado on 20 minutes.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 31' The referee shows Ecuador player a card on 31.
- 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' Assisted by Lionel Messi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rodrigo de Paul makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Pervis Estupinan argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' The referee shows Argentina player a card on 45.
- 46' Michael Estrada gets the nod from Ecuador. He replaces Carlos Gruezo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ecuador needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Ecuador international Robert Arboleda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Argentina side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 66' It’s a booking for Argentina player. Nicolas Gonzalez gets a card.
- 70' Moises Caicedo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alan Franco at the 70 minute mark.
- 71' Argentina ring the changes. Giovani Lo Celso has done his job and it is now time for Angel di Maria to step up.
- 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 83' Nicolas Gonzalez makes way for Nicolas Tagliafico at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Argentina.
- 84' Against the run of play, Lautaro Martinez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Piero Hincapie.
- 90' It is a substitution in Argentina team. Lautaro Martinez is replaced by Sergio Aguero on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — Argentina 3-0 Ecuador. Honours even.
Lineups
Argentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 22
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 5
- 26
Bench
-
9
Sergio Aguero ↑ 90'
-
3
Nicolas Tagliafico ↑ 83'
-
11
Angel di Maria ↑ 71'
- 21
- 24
- 16
- 1
- 14
- 4
- 25
- 12
-
18
Guido Rodriguez ↑ 71'
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
27
Diego Palacios ↓ Gonzalo Plata 46'
- 7
-
10
Carlos Gruezo ↓ Michael Estrada 46'
- 20
- 13
- 17
- 15
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Moises Caicedo 70'
- 3
- 1
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
-
19
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 46'
- 12
-
9
Leonardo Campana ↑ 83'
- 16
- 2
-
11
Michael Estrada ↑ 46'
- 8
-
23
Moises Caicedo ↑ 70'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | 1 |
| Rodrigo de Paul | 1 |
| Lionel Messi | 1 |
Head to Head
Argentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85
Argentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Ecuador xG
I would bet for:
Argentina to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Argentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Argentina or Draw
84%
Draw or Ecuador
40%
Argentina or Ecuador
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Argentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Argentina
| Handicap | Argentina covers | Push | Ecuador covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Argentina keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
