Argentina vs Ecuador, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Argentina vs Ecuador — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- 5' Leandro Paredes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 394 appearances.
- 10' Piero Hincapie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Argentina currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' That is a card for Ecuador. Angelo Preciado will be fuming at that decision.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' Argentina are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ecuador backline.
- 31' Ecuador receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alan Franco, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Rodrigo de Paul has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Pervis Estupinan argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' It’s a booking for Argentina player. Nicolas Otamendi gets a card.
- 46' The Ecuador manager makes a substitution. Carlos Gruezo departs to be replaced by Michael Estrada.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lionel Messi suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' Argentina are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ecuador's shape.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolas Gonzalez.
- 70' Fresh legs for Ecuador! Moises Caicedo comes on to replace Alan Franco.
- 71' It is a substitution in Argentina team. Giovani Lo Celso is replaced by Angel di Maria on 71 minute.
- 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' It looks like no one’s ball. Ecuador is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 83' The Argentina manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Gonzalez departs to be replaced by Nicolas Tagliafico.
- 84' Lautaro Martinez adds to his 5 season tally! Argentina lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ecuador needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Piero Hincapie. He receives a card.
- 90' Lautaro Martinez makes way for Sergio Aguero at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Argentina.
- Another three points for Argentina.
Lineups
Argentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 22
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 5
- 26
Bench
-
9
Sergio Aguero ↑ 90'
-
3
Nicolas Tagliafico ↑ 83'
-
11
Angel di Maria ↑ 71'
- 21
- 24
- 16
- 1
- 14
- 4
- 25
- 12
-
18
Guido Rodriguez ↑ 71'
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
27
Diego Palacios ↓ Gonzalo Plata 46'
- 7
-
10
Carlos Gruezo ↓ Michael Estrada 46'
- 20
- 13
- 17
- 15
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Moises Caicedo 70'
- 3
- 1
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
-
19
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 46'
- 12
-
9
Leonardo Campana ↑ 83'
- 16
- 2
-
11
Michael Estrada ↑ 46'
- 8
-
23
Moises Caicedo ↑ 70'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 1 |
| Lautaro Martinez | 1 |
| Rodrigo de Paul | 1 |
Head to Head
Argentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85
Argentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Ecuador xG
I would bet for:
Argentina to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Argentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Argentina or Draw
84%
Draw or Ecuador
40%
Argentina or Ecuador
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Argentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Argentina
| Handicap | Argentina covers | Push | Ecuador covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Argentina keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.