Argentina vs Brazil, Copa Sudamericana 2024 FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Argentina vs Brazil — Copa Sudamericana .
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Argentina host Brazil — let the battle begin!
- 3' Fred is having his name booked by the referee on 3.
- 8' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 13' Argentina is showing some good football. However, Argentina are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' Lionel Messi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 15 goals this season.
- 22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Angel di Maria makes it 1-0.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' Brazil are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 33' A moment of madness from Leandro Paredes on 33 minutes earns him a card. Argentina will be frustrated.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' The travelling Brazil supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Roberto Firmino. He replaces Fred on 46 minute.
- 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Giovani Lo Celso on 51.
- 54' The Argentina manager makes a substitution. Leandro Paredes departs to be replaced by Guido Rodriguez.
- 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas Gonzalez suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' Argentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Tagliafico is hanging Giovani Lo Celso on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' It’s a booking for Argentina player. Rodrigo de Paul gets a card.
- 70' Poor challenge from Renan Lodi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Paqueta on 72.
- 76' Emerson Royal is replacing Renan Lodi for the Brazil side.
- 79' Another change for Argentina made on 79 minute. Christian Romero leaves to be changed by German Pezzella.
- 81' That is a card for Argentina. Nicolas Otamendi will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' A moment of madness from Marquinhos on 82 minutes earns him a card. Brazil will be frustrated.
- 87' Leandro Paredes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 89' It’s a booking for Argentina player. Gonzalo Montiel gets a card.
- Another three points for Argentina.
Lineups
Argentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 11
- 10
- 20
- 22
- 7
- 8
- 5
- 4
- 13
Bench
- 9
-
3
Nicolas Tagliafico ↑ 63'
-
15
Nicolas Gonzalez ↑ 79'
- 21
- 24
-
6
German Pezzella ↑ 79'
- 1
-
14
Exequiel Palacios ↑ 79'
- 25
- 26
- 12
-
18
Guido Rodriguez ↑ 54'
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Everton ↓ Vinicius Junior 63'
-
17
Lucas Paqueta ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 76'
-
16
Renan Lodi ↓ Emerson Royal 76'
- 7
- 23
- 2
-
8
Fred ↓ Roberto Firmino 46'
- 3
- 4
- 10
- 5
Bench
- 11
- 22
-
13
Emerson Royal ↑ 76'
- 12
- 1
-
20
Roberto Firmino ↑ 46'
- 15
- 25
-
18
Vinicius Junior ↑ 63'
- 6
- 14
-
21
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 76'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Angel di Maria | 1 |
| Roberto Firmino | 1 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 1 |
Argentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Argentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Brazil xG
I would bet for:
Argentina or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Argentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Argentina or Draw
73%
Draw or Brazil
57%
Argentina or Brazil
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Argentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Argentina
| Handicap | Argentina covers | Push | Brazil covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Argentina keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Brazil keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
