Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 62' Kei Chinen
Yuji Ono 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Kashima AntlersJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
27 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–5 L
22 Sep Vissel Kobe H 2–3 L
18 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
14 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
25 Aug FC Machida Zelvia H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Albirex Niigata A 4–0 W
28 Sep Shonan Bellmare A 2–3 L
21 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 0–0 D
14 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
25 Aug Tokyo Verdy A 1–2 L
17 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Kashima Antlers get this one started.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Kashima Antlers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Yota Komi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 12' Albirex Niigata is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kazuhiko Chiba on 12.
  • 15' Magnificent from Yuta Higuchi! That is 16 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' Michael Fitzgerald, a Japan , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Koji Suzuki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashima Antlers that had 447 games and scored 468 goals.
  • 45' The 27-year-old Tomoki Hayakawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 47' What composure from Yuta Higuchi! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashima Antlers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' The Japan Yuma Suzuki breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 1-3!
  • 57' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Yota Komi departs to be replaced by Thomas Deng.
  • 58' Yuji Ono has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi on 58 minute.
  • 62' The referee shows Kashima Antlers player a card on 62.
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hidehiro Sugai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 68.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Kashima AntlersRadomir Milosavljevic on, Gaku Shibasaki off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 79' Hidehiro Sugai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shintaro Nago on 79 minute.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 86' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Yuma Suzuki is withdrawn and Homare Tokuda gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Yuji Ono is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • With this win, Kashima Antlers is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata25% Draw26% Kashima Antlers49%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
52%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
75%
Albirex Niigata or Kashima Antlers
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw44% Kashima Antlers37%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
18%
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.