Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Albirex Niigata

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Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Wed 2 Apr 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 77' Yuji Kitajima

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-02 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2024-08-17 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Albirex Niigata 2024-05-25 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka 2023-08-18 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-15 Albirex Niigata 3–2 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
29 Mar	Gamba Osaka	H	3–3	D
15 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L
08 Mar	Tōkyō Verdy	H	2–2	D
02 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–2	D
26 Feb	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
29 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
09 Mar	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W
26 Feb	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/4

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

Shu Morooka	3 G	1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto	1 G
Werik	1 G
Yuma Tsujioka	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Albirex Niigata gets underway.
5' Motoki Hasegawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
10' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
25' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Hiroki Akino has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's shape.
35' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Avispa Fukuoka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
50' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
55' Tomoya Ando has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
58' The whistle greets Nassim Ben Khalifa as he departs to be replaced by Shahab Zahedi Tabar.
60' Masaya Tashiro makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Avispa Fukuoka are in front.
62' Danilo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jin Okumura at the 62 minute mark.
67' Yota Komi is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
71' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 71 minute. Shintaro Nago leaves to be changed by Kazuya Konno.
76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
77' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 77.
78' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Motoki Hasegawa is replaced by Eiji Miyamoto.
83' It’s high time Daisuke Kimori made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
86' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Kazuki Fujimoto is replaced by Yuto Iwasaki.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Avispa Fukuoka to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Yuji Ono ↑ 62'
35
Kazuhiko Chiba
18
Yamato Wakatsuki ↑ 86'
11
Danilo ↑ 62'
15
Fumiya Hayakawa
23
Daisuke Yoshimitsu
4
Shosei Okamoto
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↑ 78'
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 78'

Coach Daisuke Kimori

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Starting XI

14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Kazuya Konno 71'
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↓ Shahab Zahedi Tabar 58'
77
Takaaki Shichi ↓ Takumi Kamijima 86'
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 86'
29
Yota Maejima
37
Masaya Tashiro
31
Masaaki Murakami
88
Daiki Matsuoka
11
Tomoya Miki
15
Hiroki Akino ↓ Yuji Kitajima 71'
20
Tomoya Ando

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuya Konno	3
Kaito Taniguchi	2
Ryotaro Ito	2
Yuto Horigome	1
Hiroyuki Mae	1
Fumiya Hayakawa	1
Masaya Tashiro	1
Yuji Kitajima	1

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-04-02 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2025-03-29 Albirex Niigata 3–3 Gamba Osaka D 2025-03-15 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2025-03-08 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Tōkyō Verdy D 2025-03-02 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-02-26 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Albirex Niigata L

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2025-04-02 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-03-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-03-15 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2025-03-09 Kyōto Sanga FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-03-01 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-02-26 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.15 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata33% Draw30% Avispa Fukuoka37%

Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

64%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

67%

Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata24% Draw50% Avispa Fukuoka26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.8%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.8%

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 1

2.8%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.