Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 3 Mar 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Melbourne City FC H 4–2 W
26 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D
19 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 4–4 D
11 Feb Western United FC A 3–2 W
04 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
29 Jan Melbourne City FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Adelaide United FC A 2–4 L
25 Feb Sydney FC H 3–2 W
18 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 2–3 L
11 Feb Perth Glory FC A 4–2 W
04 Feb Macarthur FC H 6–1 W
29 Jan Adelaide United FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne City FC
#2 Position #6
43 Points 38
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
46 Scored 33
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +0
1.65 PPG 1.46
46% Win % 38%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.45 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC53% Draw21% Melbourne City FC26%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
47%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne City FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC39% Draw36% Melbourne City FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 19% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.