Saturday , 14 November 2026

AZ vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 24 Apr 2025 · 16:45 UTC AFAS Stadion 17,537 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 75' Leo Sauer
Mexx Meerdink 90+7' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.

  • AZ 12 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
  • NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Cristian Dobre
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr NAC Breda H 1–1 D
13 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
05 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
01 Apr RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
29 Mar NEC A 3–3 D
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr AZ A 1–1 D
12 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
06 Apr AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Groningen H 1–1 D
14 Mar Almere City FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
3/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AZ launch into their encounter with NAC Breda.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' NAC Breda fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AZ and NAC Breda are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AZ side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' The 32-year-old Terence Kongolo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Raul Paula, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AZ that had 315 games and scored 593 goals.
  • 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AZ and NAC Breda are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' It looks surprising AZ does not make any changes. Leo Greiml has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' AZ are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against NAC Breda's 5-4-1 shape.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. NAC Breda needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 67' AZ make a change. Ruben van Bommel trudges off to be replaced by Sven Mijnans on 67 minutes.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Boy Kemper. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' The AZ manager makes a substitution. Peer Koopmeiners departs to be replaced by Seiya Maikuma.
  • 75' Assisted by Clint Leemans with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leo Sauer makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' The crowd applauds David Wolfe as he leaves the pitch. Ernest Poku steps in for AZ.
  • 87' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' The referee shows NAC Breda player a card on 90.
  • 90' Casper Staring is replacing Cherrion Valerius for the NAC Breda side.
  • It finishes all square. AZ and NAC Breda share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AZ51% Draw27% NAC Breda22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
49%
AZ or NAC Breda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AZ36% Draw47% NAC Breda17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.