Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AZ vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
AZ
1 – 1
Full Time
NAC Breda
Thu 24 Apr 2025 · 16:45 UTC AFAS Stadion 17,537 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 75' Leo Sauer
Mexx Meerdink 90+7' 1–1
Y 68' Boy Kemper
Y 90' Daniel Bielica

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.

  • AZ 7 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
  • NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Cristian Dobre
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

4
2
AZ 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals NAC Breda
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-24 AZ 1–1 NAC Breda 2024-12-15 NAC Breda 1–2 AZ 2019-02-08 NAC Breda 0–3 AZ 2018-08-12 AZ 5–0 NAC Breda

Recent Form

AZ
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr NAC Breda H 1–1 D
13 Apr Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
05 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
01 Apr RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
29 Mar NEC A 3–3 D
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
NAC Breda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr AZ A 1–1 D
12 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
06 Apr AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Groningen H 1–1 D
14 Mar Almere City FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AZ
Ro-Zangelo Daal 4 G
Mexx Meerdink 3 G 2 A
Jizz Hornkamp 2 G
Ayoub Oufkir 2 G
Calvin Stengs 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AZ vs NAC Breda — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Fredrik Jensen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AZ and NAC Breda are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Leo Sauer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Maarten Martens might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Casper Staring made 245 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 60' NAC Breda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' The whistle greets Ruben van Bommel as he departs to be replaced by Sven Mijnans.
  • 68' Boy Kemper is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 73' A tactical swap from AZ — Seiya Maikuma on, Peer Koopmeiners off on 73 minutes.
  • 75' Goal! Leo Sauer scores his 9 goal in 326 matches.
  • 80' The home supporters are growing impatient. AZ must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 82' Time for substitution for AZ. David Wolfe is replaced by Ernest Poku.
  • 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Daniel Bielica catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Casper Staring gets the nod from NAC Breda. He replaces Cherrion Valerius and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

AZ Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Maarten Martens

NAC Breda Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carl Hoefkens

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AZ51% Draw27% NAC Breda22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
49%
AZ or NAC Breda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AZ36% Draw47% NAC Breda17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.