AZ vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AZ vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
- Assistant 2 Cristian Dobre
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | NEC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Mar | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | AZ | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. NAC Breda get us underway at AFAS Stadion.
- 5' Alexandre Penetra is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AZ tonight.
- 10' Ruben van Bommel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carl Hoefkens will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' NAC Breda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' NAC Breda come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' Ibrahim Sadiq has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' AZ is showing some good football. However, AZ are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' Raul Paula has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 438 appearances.
- 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AZ side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 55' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carl Hoefkens might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AZ and NAC Breda are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 67' Sven Mijnans has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruben van Bommel on 67 minute.
- 68' Poor challenge from Boy Kemper. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' Seiya Maikuma is ready to make an impact after coming on for Peer Koopmeiners at the 73 minute mark.
- 75' What composure from Leo Sauer! The Slovakia international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 80' AZ currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 82' Ernest Poku gets the nod from AZ. He replaces David Wolfe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' It’s high time Carl Hoefkens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' The referee shows NAC Breda player a card on 90.
- 90' Time for substitution for NAC Breda. Cherrion Valerius is replaced by Casper Staring.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AZ Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Ibrahim Sadiq ↓ Jayden Addai 67'
- 6
- 28
- 5
- 30
- 35
- 22
- 1
-
7
Ruben van Bommel ↓ Sven Mijnans 67'
-
18
David Wolfe ↓ Ernest Poku 82'
- 26
Bench
- 4
- 12
-
10
Sven Mijnans ↑ 67'
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↑ 73'
-
23
Mayckel Lahdo ↑ 67'
- 34
-
21
Ernest Poku ↑ 82'
- 31
- 3
- 24
-
17
Jayden Addai ↑ 67'
- 27
Coach
Maarten Martens
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 15
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Fredrik Jensen 82'
- 99
- 12
- 4
-
55
Kamal Sowah ↓ Raul Paula 90'
- 77
- 16
- 25
Bench
-
29
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 90'
- 31
-
44
Maxime Busi ↑ 82'
-
20
Fredrik Jensen ↑ 82'
- 9
- 39
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 90'
- 28
- 19
- 14
-
11
Raul Paula ↑ 90'
- 18
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Mexx Meerdink | 2 |
| Moussa Soumano | 2 |
| Myron Boadu | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Albert Gudmundsson | 1 |
| Bjorn Maars Johnsen | 1 |
| Pantelis Chatzidiakos | 1 |
Head to Head
AZ Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AZ or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
49%
AZ or NAC Breda
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AZ
| Handicap | AZ covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AZ keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

