AZ vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AZ vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
- Assistant 2 Cristian Dobre
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | NEC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Mar | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | AZ | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to AFAS Stadion that hosts another battle between AZ and NAC Breda.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' AZ have won 566 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' AZ are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' NAC Breda seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Terence Kongolo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' AZ is showing some good football. However, AZ are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' AZ are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 60' Ghana international Kamal Sowah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Denso Kasius made 480 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 67' The crowd applauds Ruben van Bommel as he leaves the pitch. Sven Mijnans steps in for AZ.
- 68' Poor challenge from Boy Kemper. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' The AZ manager makes a substitution. Peer Koopmeiners departs to be replaced by Seiya Maikuma.
- 75' Goal! Leo Sauer scores his 9 goal in 322 matches.
- 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 82' Fresh legs for AZ! Ernest Poku comes on to replace David Wolfe.
- 87' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Daniel Bielica.
- 90' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Casper Staring comes on to replace Cherrion Valerius.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AZ Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Ibrahim Sadiq ↓ Jayden Addai 67'
- 6
- 28
- 5
- 30
- 35
- 22
- 1
-
7
Ruben van Bommel ↓ Sven Mijnans 67'
-
18
David Wolfe ↓ Ernest Poku 82'
- 26
Bench
- 4
- 12
-
10
Sven Mijnans ↑ 67'
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↑ 73'
-
23
Mayckel Lahdo ↑ 67'
- 34
-
21
Ernest Poku ↑ 82'
- 31
- 3
- 24
-
17
Jayden Addai ↑ 67'
- 27
Coach
Maarten Martens
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 15
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Fredrik Jensen 82'
- 99
- 12
- 4
-
55
Kamal Sowah ↓ Raul Paula 90'
- 77
- 16
- 25
Bench
-
29
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 90'
- 31
-
44
Maxime Busi ↑ 82'
-
20
Fredrik Jensen ↑ 82'
- 9
- 39
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 90'
- 28
- 19
- 14
-
11
Raul Paula ↑ 90'
- 18
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Mexx Meerdink | 2 |
| Moussa Soumano | 2 |
| Bjorn Maars Johnsen | 1 |
| Pantelis Chatzidiakos | 1 |
| Troy Parrott | 1 |
| Jonas Svensson | 1 |
| Mees De Wit | 1 |
Head to Head
AZ Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AZ or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
49%
AZ or NAC Breda
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AZ
| Handicap | AZ covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AZ keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

