Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 11,185 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Nikolas Agrafiotis
Bryan Limbombe 54' 1–1
Justin Hoogma 60' 2–1
Mohamed Sankoh 85' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Joey Kooij
  • Assistant 1 Marco Ribbink
  • Assistant 2 Don Frijn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep SBV Excelsior H 3–1 W
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
15 May Sparta Rotterdam H 1–3 L
11 May RKC Waalwijk A 0–2 L
07 May Willem II Tilburg A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Heracles Almelo A 1–3 L
26 Aug Fortuna Sittard H 2–2 D
19 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
13 Aug NEC A 4–3 W
28 May FC Volendam A 2–3 L
21 May Fortuna Sittard H 3–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo51% Draw23% SBV Excelsior26%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
74%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
49%
Heracles Almelo or SBV Excelsior
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo38% Draw39% SBV Excelsior23%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 20% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
23%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.