AFC Ajax vs PSV, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Bjorn Kuipers
- Referee Sander van Roekel
- Referee Erwin Zeinstra
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Allard Lindhout
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | PSV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | AZ | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Mar | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fortuna Sittard | H | 4–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | ADO Den Haag | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Mar | VVV Venlo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | NAC Breda | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | SBV Excelsior | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | SC Heerenveen | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 2 |
| 32 | Scored | 40 |
| 15 | Conceded | 15 |
| +17 | GD | +25 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 2.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). PSV are 1st (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Johan Cruyff ArenA!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michal Sadilek made 452 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' PSV looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lutsharel Geertruida scoring 1 goals.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark van Bommel will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Ajax must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 21' What a moment for Daniel Schwaab! That strike on 21 puts his side firmly in control.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' AFC Ajax currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 492 games and scored 849 goals.
- 46' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 51' The 34-year-old Trent Sainsbury has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 54' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Michal Sadilek.
- 57' It’s gonna be a Red card for Noussair Mazraoui.
- 58' The Switzerland centre-forward Luuk de Jong breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 0-2!
- 59' AFC Ajax make a change. Lasse Schone trudges off to be replaced by Joel Veltman on 59 minutes.
- 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and PSV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 68' Poor challenge from Dusan Tadic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dusan Tadic on 69.
- 71' PSV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Trent Sainsbury is hanging Nick Viergever on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' GOAL! Dusan Tadic fires home to make it 1-2!
- 72' Michal Sadilek makes way for Donyell Malen at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
- 73' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Donyell Malen.
- 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 80' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Hakim Ziyech by Rasmus Kristensen on 80 minute.
- 85' PSV has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 86' PSV make a change. Jorrit Hendrix trudges off to be replaced by Cody Gakpo on 86 minutes.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David Neres makes it 2-2.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dusan Tadic on 90 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 10
-
20
Lasse Schone ↓ Joel Veltman 59'
- 22
- 24
- 4
- 12
- 6
- 21
- 7
- 17
Bench
- 19
- 26
-
3
Joel Veltman ↑ 59'
-
2
Rasmus Kristensen ↑ 80'
- 8
- 30
- 37
- 25
- 9
- 28
-
16
Lisandro Magallan ↑ 86'
Coach
Erik ten Hag
PSV Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 22
- 1
-
8
Jorrit Hendrix ↓ Cody Gakpo 86'
- 5
- 18
- 9
- 17
- 4
- 6
-
32
Michal Sadilek ↓ Donyell Malen 72'
Bench
-
20
Trent Sainsbury ↑ 71'
- 3
- 41
- 13
- 15
- 7
- 16
-
14
Donyell Malen ↑ 72'
-
19
Cody Gakpo ↑ 86'
- 25
- 33
- 52
Coach
Mark van Bommel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Mario Gotze | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
72%
Draw or PSV
51%
AFC Ajax or PSV
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 19% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.