PSV vs AFC Ajax, 2017

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Championship 2017/18 · 2017

PSV

0 – 1

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Tue 26 Sep 2017 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC Ajax — Championship .

PSV 0 games · 0 pts
AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

PSV 1.95

Draw 3.60

AFC Ajax 4.20

Head-to-Head

PSV 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2017-09-26 PSV 0–1 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

PSV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Sep	AFC Ajax	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	FK BATE Barysau	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Fenerbahce SK	H	3–2	W
12 Sep	BSC Young Boys	A	0–0	D
09 Sep	FC Internazionale Milano	A	3–0	W
26 Aug	FK Dynamo Kyiv	H	0–0	D

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Sep	PSV	A	1–0	W
23 Sep	Cercle Brugge KSV	H	0–0	D
16 Sep	FC Red Bull Salzburg	A	1–0	W
12 Sep	FC Basel 1893	H	0–0	D
09 Sep	SK Slavia Praha	H	1–0	W
26 Aug	Rosenborg BK	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
The referee brings this contest to a close. AFC Ajax take all three points.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luuk de Jong	9
Hirving Lozano	4
Davy Klaassen	3
Dusan Tadic	3
Quincy Promes	3
Eran Zahavi	3
Steven Berghuis	2
Mika Godts	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.95 PSV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + AFC Ajax or Draw 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PSV32% Draw33% AFC Ajax35%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 1.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw

65%

Draw or AFC Ajax

68%

PSV or AFC Ajax

67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PSV21% Draw55% AFC Ajax24%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.3%

1 – 1

14.5%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.7%

0 – 2

1 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

3.4%

1 – 3

2.4%

0 – 3

2.4%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap	PSV covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	19%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	21%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.