Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Europe 2022-23 PLAYOFF ROUND

UEFA Europa League · 2022-23
Thu 16 Feb 2023 · 17:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs 1. FC Union BerlinEurope at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Arda Kardesler
  • Referee Mete Kalkavan
  • Referee Cevdet Komurcuoglu
  • Referee Abdulkadir Bitigen
  • Referee Mustafa Eyisoy (Turkey)
  • Referee Halil Meler (Turkey)

Head-to-Head

1
1
AFC Ajax 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals 1. FC Union Berlin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
12 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 3–1 W
05 Feb SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 5–0 W
29 Jan SBV Excelsior A 4–1 W
26 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–0 D
11 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
04 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
31 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 2–1 W
28 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–0 W
25 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Morten Thorsby suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' It looks surprising 1. FC Union Berlin does not make any changes. Devyne Rensch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Union Berlin that had 435 games and scored 363 goals.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kenneth Taylor made 480 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Brian Brobbey. He replaces Owen Wijndal on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' 1. FC Union Berlin receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 62' 1. FC Union Berlin is showing some good football. However, 1. FC Union Berlin are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Morten Thorsby puts 1. FC Union Berlin on the lead.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Kevin Behrens is replaced by Jordan Siebatcheu.
  • 75' The whistle greets Steven Bergwijn as he departs to be replaced by Davy Klaassen.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Union Berlin is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 82' Another change for 1. FC Union Berlin made on 82 minute. Sheraldo Becker leaves to be changed by Sven Michel.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Danilho Doekhi.
  • 90' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Jerome Roussillon is replaced by Niko Giesselmann on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + AFC Ajax or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax37% Draw34% 1. FC Union Berlin29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
63%
AFC Ajax or 1. FC Union Berlin
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax23% Draw58% 1. FC Union Berlin19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
2.1%
3 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 22% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
44%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.