AFC Ajax vs CA Mineiro, 2017

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Championship 2017/18 · 2017

AFC Ajax

3 – 2

Full Time

CA Mineiro

Sat 17 Mar 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs CA Mineiro — Championship .

AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts
CA Mineiro 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AFC Ajax 1.85

Draw 3.60

CA Mineiro 4.75

Head-to-Head

AFC Ajax 4 games · Avg 5.0 goals CA Mineiro

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-17 AFC Ajax 3–2 CA Mineiro 2017-09-30 CA Mineiro 1–2 AFC Ajax 2017-04-08 AFC Ajax 7–1 CA Mineiro 2016-12-26 CA Mineiro 3–1 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	CA Mineiro	H	3–2	W
10 Mar	FC Barcelona	A	3–4	L
06 Mar	KF Valur	H	0–0	D
03 Mar	PAOK FC	A	1–1	D
24 Feb	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–0	D
21 Feb	PAE AEK	A	2–2	D

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	AFC Ajax	A	2–3	L
10 Mar	AS Monaco FC	H	2–2	D
06 Mar	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–1	D
03 Mar	PAE AEK	A	0–3	L
27 Feb	FC Red Bull Salzburg	H	1–3	L
24 Feb	FC CFR 1907 Cluj	H	3–3	D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: AFC Ajax gets underway.
With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.99 AFC Ajax xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 CA Mineiro xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Ajax56% Draw23% CA Mineiro21%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw

79%

Draw or CA Mineiro

44%

AFC Ajax or CA Mineiro

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Ajax39% Draw42% CA Mineiro19%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

1 – 0

7.5%

3 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 0

5.6%

3 – 0

5.2%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap	AFC Ajax covers	Push	CA Mineiro covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	22%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.