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ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, 2015

Serie A 2015/16 · 2015
Tue 5 Jan 2016 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ACF Fiorentina 2.25
Draw 3.20
Atalanta BC 3.40

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
20 Dec SS Lazio A 0–2 L
12 Dec SPAL 2013 H 0–1 L
05 Dec Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
29 Nov Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
22 Nov AC Milan H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 3–2 W
20 Dec FK Ural H 2–0 W
14 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
06 Dec AC Milan H 1–3 L
28 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 1–4 L
22 Nov Genoa CFC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina34% Draw28% Atalanta BC38%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
62%
Draw or Atalanta BC
66%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina26% Draw46% Atalanta BC28%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
25%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.