AC Milan vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Eugenio Abbattista
- Referee Giampaolo Calvarese
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Mauro Vivenzi
- Referee Alessandro Lo Cicero
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Genoa CFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Apr | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | SSC Napoli | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Mar | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | AS Roma | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 70 | Points | 41 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 11 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 51 |
| +18 | GD | -10 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.08 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Genoa CFC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Genoa CFC backline.
- 13' A goal from the Croatia international Ante Rebic! He fires home on 13 to make it 1-0!
- 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Genoa CFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 26' That is a Yellow card for Genoa CFC. Edoardo Goldaniga will be fuming at that decision.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' Mattia Destro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gianluigi Donnarumma made 515 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 52' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Time for substitution for Genoa CFC. Mattia Destro is replaced by Marko Pjaca.
- 62' The whistle greets Pierre Kalulu as he departs to be replaced by Diogo Dalot.
- 63' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Mario Mandzukic on, Rafael Leao off on 63 minutes.
- 68' Gianluca Scamacca has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 73' Francesco Cassata has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 74' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Ismael Bennacer is withdrawn and Sandro Tonali gets his opportunity.
- 79' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Genoa CFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 83' Valon Behrami is replacing Kevin Strootman for the Genoa CFC side.
- 88' AC Milan make a change. Hakan Calhanoglu trudges off to be replaced by Rade Krunic on 88 minutes.
- With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Mario Mandzukic 63'
- 12
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 79
-
10
Hakan Calhanoglu ↓ Rade Krunic 88'
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Sandro Tonali 74'
- 56
-
20
Pierre Kalulu ↓ Diogo Dalot 62'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 63'
-
5
Diogo Dalot ↑ 62'
- 1
-
9
Mario Mandzukic ↑ 63'
- 13
- 7
- 18
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↑ 74'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 88'
- 46
- 15
- 89
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Genoa CFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
20
Kevin Strootman ↓ Valon Behrami 83'
- 1
- 55
-
23
Mattia Destro ↓ Marko Pjaca 57'
- 47
- 21
- 5
- 29
- 18
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 2
-
37
Marko Pjaca ↑ 57'
-
14
Davide Biraschi ↑ 57'
-
19
Goran Pandev ↑ 74'
-
11
Valon Behrami ↑ 83'
- 32
- 24
-
61
Eldor Shomurodov ↑ 74'
- 25
- 65
- 17
Coach
Davide Ballardini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Junior Messias | 3 |
| Mattia Destro | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | 2 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 1 |
| Johan Vasquez | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or Genoa CFC
45%
AC Milan or Genoa CFC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Genoa CFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.