Thursday , 1 October 2026

AC Ajaccio vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 – 1
Full Time
Fri 17 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel-Moretti HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Gaillouste
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 17.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan SM Caen H 2–1 W
11 Jan SC Bastia A 0–4 L
03 Jan FC Annecy H 1–2 L
13 Dec Pau FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Paris FC H 0–2 L
25 Nov USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
11 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 0–1 L
03 Jan Clermont Foot 63 H 0–1 L
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–3 D

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SM Caen gets underway.
  • 5' Lorenzo Rajot needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 16' A moment of madness from Lorenzo Rajot on 16 minutes earns him a card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' Another substitution for AC Ajaccio to replace Valentin Jacob by Aboubakary Kante on 26 minute.
  • 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Ajaccio must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' Anthony Strata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Julien Anziani on 40 minutes.
  • 42' The referee shows AC Ajaccio player a card on 42.
  • 45' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Lorenzo Rajot by Mickael Le Bihan on 45 minute.
  • 50' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Ajaccio that had 402 games and scored 241 goals.
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Ajaccio in their trying to find a way past SM Caen's compact .
  • 61' It is a substitution in AC Ajaccio team. Moussa Soumano is replaced by Ivane Chegra on 61 minute.
  • 62' GOAL! Alex Mendy scores on 62.
  • 67' Kan Guy Arsene Kouassi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 70' Brilliant from the ! Axel Bamba makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 70.
  • 71' Tidiam Gomis is replacing Ilyes Najim for the SM Caen side.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Valentin Jacob suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' SM Caen make a change. Godson Kyeremeh trudges off to be replaced by Leo Milliner on 79 minutes.
  • 80' AC Ajaccio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mehdi Puch-Herrantz is hanging Michael Barreto on the field on 80 minute.
  • 83' What composure from Aboubakary Kante! The Gambia international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 86' SM Caen make a change. Alex Mendy trudges off to be replaced by Diabe Bolumbu on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Benjamin Santelli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Ajaccio 2-1 SM Caen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio46% Draw27% SM Caen27%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
73%
Draw or SM Caen
54%
AC Ajaccio or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio30% Draw48% SM Caen22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.