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Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin, 2018-19 ROUND OF 32

DFB-Pokal · 2018-19
Wed 31 Oct 2018 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Arno Blos
  • Referee Christian Bandurski
  • Referee Tim-Julian Skorczyk
  • Referee Guido Winkmann

Head-to-Head

11
4
Borussia Dortmund 15 games · Avg 3.7 goals 1. FC Union Berlin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
27 Oct Hertha BSC H 2–2 D
24 Oct Club Atlético de Madrid H 4–0 W
20 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 4–0 W
06 Oct FC Augsburg H 4–3 W
03 Oct AS Monaco FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
19 Aug FC Carl Zeiss Jena A 4–2 W
19 May Shillong Lajong FC H 4–2 W
12 May Mohun Bagan AC A 0–6 L
05 May Roundglass Punjab FC H 1–1 D
28 Apr Gokulam Kerala FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Borussia Dortmund gets underway.
  • 5' 1. FC Union Berlin have won 363 goals from 435 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' 1. FC Union Berlin come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 14' It is a substitution in BV Borussia 09 Dortmund team. Abdou Diallo is replaced by Raphael Guerreiro on 14 minute.
  • 19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Union Berlin needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 24' Borussia Dortmund is showing some good football. However, Borussia Dortmund are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Christian Pulisic adds to his 0 season tally! BV Borussia 09 Dortmund lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 50' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marwin Hitz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' The 27-year-old Dan-Axel Zagadou has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' Achraf Hakimi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 61.
  • 61' 1. FC Union Berlin ring the changes. Sebastian Andersson has done his job and it is now time for Sebastian Polter to step up.
  • 63' Against the run of play, Sebastian Polter has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 68' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 73' The Germany forward Maximilian Philipp breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 0-3!
  • 76' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Marcel Hartel by Simon Hedlund on 76 minute.
  • 79' Marco Reus is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shinji Kagawa at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Shinji Kagawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 86' The BV Borussia 09 Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Mahmoud Dahoud departs to be replaced by Axel Witsel.
  • 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sebastian Polter makes it 0-4.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.31 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund56% Draw21% 1. FC Union Berlin23%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
44%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FC Union Berlin
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund41% Draw38% 1. FC Union Berlin21%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 16% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 20% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
23%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.