Tuesday , 21 July 2026

1. FC Köln vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Köln vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
10 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
13 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
06 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
29 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan 1. FC Köln A 3–1 W
11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 8–1 W
21 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
09 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 3–1 W
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 5–0 W

Season Stats

1. FC Köln FC Bayern München
#14 Position #1
32 Points 89
34 Played 34
7 / 11 / 16 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
49 Scored 122
63 Conceded 36
-14 GD +86
0.94 PPG 2.62
21% Win % 82%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Köln are 14th (32 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Köln Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 1. FC Köln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.35 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Bayern München to win 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Köln11% Draw15% FC Bayern München74%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

1. FC Köln or Draw
26%
Draw or FC Bayern München
89%
1. FC Köln or FC Bayern München
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Köln7% Draw29% FC Bayern München64%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
7.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 4
6.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 5
5.2%
1 – 1
4.9%
1 – 5
4.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
0 – 6
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Köln

Handicap 1. FC Köln covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 4% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 17% 83%
+1 17% 17% 66%
+1.5 34% 66%
+2 34% 20% 46%
+2.5 54% 46%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.