Thursday , 1 October 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 23 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Racecourse Ground 13,237 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver Rathbone 9' 1–0
1–1 18' Lyndon Dykes

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wigglesworth
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Lehane (England)
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
3
Wrexham AFC 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
16 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wrexham AFC to score. At the same time, Birmingham City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 9' Oliver Rathbone adds to his 0 season tally! Wrexham AFC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 14' It is a cagey affair so far. Wrexham AFC in their trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact .
  • 18' Magnificent from Lyndon Dykes! That is 51 goals in 251 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wrexham AFC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' Elliot Lee has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 38' Wrexham AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
  • 43' A quiet spell here at Racecourse Ground. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 48' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Wrexham AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Scott Wright has done his job and it is now time for Keshi Anderson to step up.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Oliver Rathbone on 69 minutes earns him a card. Wrexham AFC will be frustrated.
  • 69' Wrexham AFC ring the changes. Elliot Lee has done his job and it is now time for Steven Fletcher to step up.
  • 74' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Alfie May has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 79' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 83' Lukas Jutkiewicz gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Alfie May and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Jay Stansfield as he leaves the pitch. Krystian Bielik steps in for Birmingham City FC.
  • It finishes all square. Wrexham AFC and Birmingham City FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC34% Draw30% Birmingham City FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
64%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC24% Draw49% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.