Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 23 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Racecourse Ground 13,237 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver Rathbone 9' 1–0
1–1 18' Lyndon Dykes

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FCLeague One at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wigglesworth
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Lehane (England)

Head-to-Head

2
2
Wrexham AFC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
16 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Racecourse Ground!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Oliver Rathbone makes it 1-0.
  • 14' Birmingham City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 18' GOAL! Lyndon Dykes scores on 18. Assisted by Marc Leonard
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Wrexham AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wrexham AFC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' Birmingham City FC have won 417 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' Krystian Bielik is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wrexham AFC tonight.
  • 63' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Ryan Barnett has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Scott Wright departs to be replaced by Keshi Anderson.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Oliver Rathbone.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Steven Fletcher. He replaces Elliot Lee on 69 minute.
  • 74' Arthur Okonkwo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 79' England international Keshi Anderson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 83' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Alfie May exits the field as Lukas Jutkiewicz enters on 83.
  • 86' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Jay Stansfield has done his job and it is now time for Krystian Bielik to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC34% Draw30% Birmingham City FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
64%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC24% Draw49% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
28%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.