Sunday , 15 November 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 23 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Racecourse Ground 13,237 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver Rathbone 9' 1–0
1–1 18' Lyndon Dykes

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wigglesworth
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Lehane (England)
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
3
Wrexham AFC 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
16 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wrexham AFC to score. At the same time, Birmingham City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Wrexham AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 9' Oliver Rathbone adds to his 2 season tally! Wrexham AFC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 14' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 18' A goal from the Scotland international Lyndon Dykes! He fires home on 18 to make it 1-1!
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wrexham AFC and Birmingham City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' Wrexham AFC have won 117 goals from 130 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 398 games and scored 442 goals.
  • 43' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Phil Parkinson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 53' Wrexham AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Birmingham City FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keshi Anderson made 58 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Scott Wright departs to be replaced by Keshi Anderson.
  • 69' Oliver Rathbone has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Wrexham AFC — Steven Fletcher on, Elliot Lee off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Elliot Lee, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 83' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 83 minute. Alfie May leaves to be changed by Lukas Jutkiewicz.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Birmingham City FC — Krystian Bielik on, Jay Stansfield off on 86 minutes.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC34% Draw30% Birmingham City FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
64%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC24% Draw49% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.