Sunday , 16 August 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 23 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Racecourse Ground 13,237 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver Rathbone 9' 1–0
1–1 18' Lyndon Dykes

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
2
Wrexham AFC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
16 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Wrexham AFC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 9' Oliver Rathbone adds to his 0 season tally! Wrexham AFC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wrexham AFC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' The Scotland Lyndon Dykes breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 1-1!
  • 23' It looks surprising Birmingham City FC does not make any changes. Elliot Lee has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' Alex Cochrane has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 336 appearances.
  • 43' Wrexham AFC is showing some good football. However, Wrexham AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 48' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ethan Laird is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Birmingham City FC.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' Wrexham AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Birmingham City FC's shape.
  • 66' Keshi Anderson is replacing Scott Wright for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Oliver Rathbone on 69 minutes earns him a card. Wrexham AFC will be frustrated.
  • 69' Steven Fletcher has so much to prove this time. He replaces Elliot Lee on 69 minute.
  • 74' Taylor Gardner-Hickman is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wrexham AFC tonight.
  • 79' It is a cagey affair so far. Wrexham AFC in their trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact .
  • 83' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Alfie May has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Jutkiewicz to step up.
  • 86' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Jay Stansfield is withdrawn and Krystian Bielik gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC34% Draw30% Birmingham City FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
64%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Wrexham AFC or Birmingham City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC24% Draw49% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
28%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.