Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Western United FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Mon 4 Nov 2024 · 08:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Western United FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Ben Abraham

Recent Form

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at AAMI Park. Western United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Melbourne City FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Western United FC that had 150 games and scored 248 goals.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oliver Lavale suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Melbourne City FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Western United FC and Melbourne City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Rhys Bozinovski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne City FC so far.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Fresh legs for Melbourne City FC! Medin Memeti comes on to replace Marco Tilio.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Western United FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne City FC's compact .
  • 49' Magnificent from Andrew Nabbout! That is 24 goals in 449 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 54' The crowd applauds Andrew Nabbout as he leaves the pitch. Yonatan Cohen steps in for Melbourne City FC.
  • 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yonatan Cohen made 43 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Western United FC make a change. Matthew Grimaldi trudges off to be replaced by Abel Walatee on 61 minutes.
  • 62' Melbourne City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Atkinson is booked for Melbourne City FC — card on 66.
  • 71' Melbourne City FC have won 386 goals from 208 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Western United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Abel Walatee argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 77' Sebastian Pasquali is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rhys Bozinovski at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Zane Schreiber is replaced by Mathew Leckie.
  • 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kai Trewin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Western United FC.
  • 88' Western United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne City FC's shape.
  • Melbourne City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Western United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Western United FC or Melbourne City FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Western United FC30% Draw29% Melbourne City FC41%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
70%
Western United FC or Melbourne City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Western United FC22% Draw50% Melbourne City FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap Western United FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.