Hull City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Watford FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | Preston North End FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Norwich City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Nov | Leicester City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hull City AFC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 8' Edo Kayembe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 10' Scott Twine doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 15' England international Ryan Andrews has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Jason Lokilo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hull City AFC so far.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 390 games and scored 441 goals.
- 30' Francisco Sierralta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 391 appearances.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 38' Ryan Andrews picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 43' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Jamal Lewis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 58' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 63' With 1 assists to his name this season, Ryan Allsop is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 65' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 65 minute. Jason Lokilo leaves to be changed by Ozan Tufan.
- 70' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 74' Magnificent from Wesley Hoedt! That is 12 goals in 363 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 79' Ken Sema makes way for Francisco Sierralta at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 80' Ryan Andrews makes way for Matthew Pollock at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 84' The Hull City AFC bench stirs into life. Scott Twine is withdrawn and Adama Traore gets his opportunity.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ben Hamer on 85 minutes.
- 90' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Ryan Porteous gets a Yellow card.
- 90' The whistle greets Ismael Kone as he departs to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru.
- With this win, Watford FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
33
Cyrus Christie ↓ Aaron Connolly 80'
- 24
- 2
- 17
-
30
Scott Twine ↓ Adama Traore 84'
-
22
Jason Lokilo ↓ Ozan Tufan 65'
- 5
- 4
- 20
- 23
- 15
Bench
-
7
Ozan Tufan ↑ 65'
-
44
Aaron Connolly ↑ 80'
- 1
- 8
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 65'
-
10
Adama Traore ↑ 84'
- 6
- 26
- 14
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Francisco Sierralta 79'
- 26
- 8
- 4
- 6
- 5
- 39
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 90'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Tom Ince 65'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Matthew Pollock 80'
- 9
Bench
- 14
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 65'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 79'
- 1
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 65'
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↑ 80'
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 90'
- 37
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ozan Tufan | 1 |
| Scott Twine | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Chris Bedia | 1 |
| Rocco Vata | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
2023-12-02
Hull City AFC
1–2
Watford FC
L
2023-11-28
Hull City AFC
4–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-11-25
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Hull City AFC
D
2023-11-11
Hull City AFC
1–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2023-11-04
West Bromwich Albion FC
3–1
Hull City AFC
L
2023-10-28
Hull City AFC
1–0
Preston North End FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
71%
Draw or Watford FC
60%
Hull City AFC or Watford FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

