Hull City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Watford FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | Preston North End FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Norwich City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Nov | Leicester City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Hull City AFC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 73 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 21 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 70 | Scored | 53 |
| 66 | Conceded | 65 |
| +4 | GD | -12 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 46% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Hull City AFC get us underway at MKM Stadium.
- 5' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 8' Edo Kayembe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 10' Scott Twine adds to his 0 season tally! Hull City AFC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Hamer, as he is very good at scoring at MKM Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Jason Lokilo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryan Andrews.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 48' Hull City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jake Livermore suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' Hull City AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tyler Morton is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hull City AFC.
- 65' Ozan Tufan is replacing Jason Lokilo for the Hull City AFC side.
- 70' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 74' The Netherlands Wesley Hoedt breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 1-2!
- 79' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Ken Sema is replaced by Francisco Sierralta.
- 80' Another change for Watford FC made on 80 minute. Ryan Andrews leaves to be changed by Matthew Pollock.
- 84' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Scott Twine is replaced by Adama Traore.
- 85' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Ben Hamer gets a Yellow card.
- 90' Ryan Porteous was booked on 90.
- 90' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Ismael Kone is replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
33
Cyrus Christie ↓ Aaron Connolly 80'
- 24
- 2
- 17
-
30
Scott Twine ↓ Adama Traore 84'
-
22
Jason Lokilo ↓ Ozan Tufan 65'
- 5
- 4
- 20
- 23
- 15
Bench
-
7
Ozan Tufan ↑ 65'
-
44
Aaron Connolly ↑ 80'
- 1
- 8
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 65'
-
10
Adama Traore ↑ 84'
- 6
- 26
- 14
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Francisco Sierralta 79'
- 26
- 8
- 4
- 6
- 5
- 39
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 90'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Tom Ince 65'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Matthew Pollock 80'
- 9
Bench
- 14
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 65'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 79'
- 1
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 65'
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↑ 80'
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 90'
- 37
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Chris Bedia | 1 |
| Rocco Vata | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Ozan Tufan | 1 |
| Scott Twine | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
2023-12-02
Hull City AFC
1–2
Watford FC
L
2023-11-28
Hull City AFC
4–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-11-25
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Hull City AFC
D
2023-11-11
Hull City AFC
1–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2023-11-04
West Bromwich Albion FC
3–1
Hull City AFC
L
2023-10-28
Hull City AFC
1–0
Preston North End FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Draw 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Watford FC
55%
Hull City AFC or Watford FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

