Hull City AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Richard Wild
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Watford FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | Preston North End FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Norwich City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Nov | Leicester City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Hull City AFC have kicked off against Watford FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 8' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Edo Kayembe makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 10' What composure from Scott Twine! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 15' Ryan Allsop, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jaden Philogene-Bidace, as he is very good at scoring at MKM Stadium with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 43' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 48' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 53' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 58' Tyler Morton has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
- 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wesley Hoedt suffering a number of foals already.
- 65' The Hull City AFC manager makes a substitution. Jason Lokilo departs to be replaced by Ozan Tufan.
- 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 74' Wesley Hoedt does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
- 79' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Francisco Sierralta on, Ken Sema off on 79 minutes.
- 80' Another change for Watford FC made on 80 minute. Ryan Andrews leaves to be changed by Matthew Pollock.
- 84' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Scott Twine is replaced by Adama Traore on 84 minute.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ben Hamer.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ryan Porteous. He receives a Yellow card.
- 90' The whistle greets Ismael Kone as he departs to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
33
Cyrus Christie ↓ Aaron Connolly 80'
- 24
- 2
- 17
-
30
Scott Twine ↓ Adama Traore 84'
-
22
Jason Lokilo ↓ Ozan Tufan 65'
- 5
- 4
- 20
- 23
- 15
Bench
-
7
Ozan Tufan ↑ 65'
-
44
Aaron Connolly ↑ 80'
- 1
- 8
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 65'
-
10
Adama Traore ↑ 84'
- 6
- 26
- 14
Coach
Liam Rosenior
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Francisco Sierralta 79'
- 26
- 8
- 4
- 6
- 5
- 39
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 90'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Tom Ince 65'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Matthew Pollock 80'
- 9
Bench
- 14
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 65'
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 79'
- 1
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 65'
-
15
Matthew Pollock ↑ 80'
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 90'
- 37
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Chris Bedia | 1 |
| Rocco Vata | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Ozan Tufan | 1 |
| Scott Twine | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
2023-12-02
Hull City AFC
1–2
Watford FC
L
2023-11-28
Hull City AFC
4–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-11-25
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Hull City AFC
D
2023-11-11
Hull City AFC
1–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2023-11-04
West Bromwich Albion FC
3–1
Hull City AFC
L
2023-10-28
Hull City AFC
1–0
Preston North End FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
71%
Draw or Watford FC
60%
Hull City AFC or Watford FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.