VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 10 Feb 2018 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfL Wolfsburg 1.28

Draw 6.00

1. FSV Mainz 05 9.50

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-10 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-09-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2017-03-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
06 Feb	CD Santa Clara	A	6–0	W
03 Feb	SV Linx 1949	A	2–0	W
27 Jan	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	5–2	W
21 Jan	Wroxham FC	H	4–2	W
12 Jan	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	3–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–2	L
07 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	Wroxham FC	H	1–2	L
27 Jan	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	2–0	W
21 Jan	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–1	D
13 Jan	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–3	L

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . VfL Wolfsburg are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
2-1 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Renato Steffen	2
Paul Nebel	2
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2018-02-10 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-02-06 CD Santa Clara 0–6 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-02-03 SV Linx 1949 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-01-27 VfL Wolfsburg 5–2 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen W 2018-01-21 VfL Wolfsburg 4–2 Wroxham FC W 2018-01-12 SV Drochtersen/Assel 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2018-02-10 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2018-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Wroxham FC L 2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-01-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Nurnberg D 2018-01-13 TuS Erndtebruck 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.89 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg to win 59% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg59% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0518%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

82%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

41%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg40% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

9.2%

1 – 0

9.2%

0 – 0

3 – 1

3 – 0

5.7%

1 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.3%

0 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	23%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.