Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Valenciennes FC vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 17:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Paris FC H 4–5 L
18 Mar SM Caen A 1–2 L
11 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D
04 Mar US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
25 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 2–2 D
18 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Valenciennes FC A 5–4 W
18 Mar SC Bastia H 0–1 L
14 Mar Amiens SC H 3–0 W
11 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar En Avant Guingamp H 1–2 L
25 Feb Chamois Niortais FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade du Hainaut will turn into a battlefield for Valenciennes FC and Paris FC.
  • 5' A goal from the Austria international Adrian Grbic! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yvann Macon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Valenciennes FC.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Ilan Kebbal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 182 appearances.
  • 30' The 37-year-old Jonathan Iglesias has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' Against the run of play, Morgan Guilavogui has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 38' Magnificent from Morgan Guilavogui! That is 38 goals in 437 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Julien Masson.
  • 43' Morgan Guilavogui is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
  • 45' Ugo Bonnet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mathis Picouleau on 45 minute.
  • 46' Adrian Grbic doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 51' Valenciennes FC is showing some good football. However, Valenciennes FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Paris FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' Morgan Guilavogui has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 62' Magnificent from Mohamed Kaba! That is 5 goals in 367 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 67' A quiet spell here at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Quentin Lecoeuche.
  • 75' Lorng Nomel is replacing Salim Ben Seghir for the Valenciennes FC side.
  • 80' It looks surprising Valenciennes FC does not make any changes. Stefan Bajic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 81' What a moment for Yoan Kore! That strike on 81 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' Julien Masson makes way for Noah Diliberto at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Valenciennes FC.
  • 85' Magnificent from Jonathan Buatu! That is 5 goals in 328 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' The Paris FC bench stirs into life. Ilan Kebbal is withdrawn and Loup Diwan Gueho gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Brilliant from the ! Khalid Boutaib makes it 4-5 with a superb finish on 90.
  • Valenciennes FC will have plenty to reflect on. Paris FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.8 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Paris FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC37% Draw25% Paris FC38%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Paris FC
63%
Valenciennes FC or Paris FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC29% Draw40% Paris FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.