Valenciennes FC vs AC Ajaccio, 2016

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Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016

Valenciennes FC

1 – 0

Full Time

AC Ajaccio

Fri 30 Sep 2016 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 1 .

Valenciennes FC 0 games · 0 pts
AC Ajaccio 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valenciennes FC 2.05

Draw 3.20

AC Ajaccio 4.00

Head-to-Head

Valenciennes FC 17 games · Avg 1.9 goals AC Ajaccio

Last 5 meetings

2016-09-30 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AC Ajaccio 2016-04-17 Valenciennes FC 0–3 AC Ajaccio 2015-12-19 AC Ajaccio 0–2 Valenciennes FC 2015-04-12 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AC Ajaccio 2014-11-22 AC Ajaccio 0–1 Valenciennes FC

Recent Form

Valenciennes FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	AC Ajaccio	H	1–0	W
24 Sep	US Orleans Loiret	A	0–3	L
21 Sep	FC Sochaux-Montbeliard	H	3–2	W
17 Sep	Nimes Olympique	A	0–3	L
11 Sep	AS Nancy-Lorraine	H	2–0	W
27 Aug	SM Caen	A	1–1	D

AC Ajaccio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Valenciennes FC	A	0–1	L
24 Sep	Senegal	A	0–1	L
21 Sep	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms	H	1–0	W
17 Sep	Amiens SC	A	1–2	L
10 Sep	SM Caen	H	1–1	D
27 Aug	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

24% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Valenciennes FC host AC Ajaccio — let the battle begin!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Valenciennes FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

AC Ajaccio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riad Nouri	2
Julien Masson	2
Florian Raspentino	2
Hugo Cuypers	2
Riad Nouri	2
Jeremy Choplin	1
Bevic Moussiti	1
Gaetan Courtet	1

Head to Head

Valenciennes FC Form

2016-09-30 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AC Ajaccio W 2016-09-24 US Orleans Loiret 3–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-09-21 Valenciennes FC 3–2 FC Sochaux-Montbeliard W 2016-09-17 Nimes Olympique 3–0 Valenciennes FC L 2016-09-11 Valenciennes FC 2–0 AS Nancy-Lorraine W 2016-08-27 SM Caen 1–1 Valenciennes FC D

AC Ajaccio Form

2016-09-30 Valenciennes FC 1–0 AC Ajaccio L 2016-09-24 Senegal 1–0 AC Ajaccio L 2016-09-21 AC Ajaccio 1–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms W 2016-09-17 Amiens SC 2–1 AC Ajaccio L 2016-09-10 AC Ajaccio 1–1 SM Caen D 2016-08-27 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 0–2 AC Ajaccio W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.32 Valenciennes FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.84 AC Ajaccio xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Valenciennes FC50% Draw28% AC Ajaccio22%

Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.16

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw

79%

Draw or AC Ajaccio

50%

Valenciennes FC or AC Ajaccio

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Valenciennes FC31% Draw52% AC Ajaccio17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

13.9%

1 – 1

13.7%

2 – 0

9.7%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap	Valenciennes FC covers	Push	AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	24%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.