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AC Ajaccio vs Valenciennes FC, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 22 Nov 2014 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Ajaccio 2.50
Draw 3.10
Valenciennes FC 2.90

Head-to-Head

7
4
6
AC Ajaccio 17 games · Avg 1.9 goals Valenciennes FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Valenciennes FC H 0–1 L
09 Nov ES Troyes AC A 1–3 L
01 Nov Senegal H 1–0 W
26 Oct GFC Ajaccio H 2–7 L
18 Oct Paris FC A 2–1 W
05 Oct Red Star FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov AC Ajaccio A 1–0 W
07 Nov VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 1–0 W
02 Nov Red Star FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Paris FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct AJ Auxerre A 0–0 D
04 Oct SV 07 Elversberg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

24% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Ajaccio Lineups

Valenciennes FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.81 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio26% Draw32% Valenciennes FC42%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
57%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
74%
AC Ajaccio or Valenciennes FC
68%

Half-Time Result

AC Ajaccio17% Draw54% Valenciennes FC29%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.1%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 16% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 24% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
31%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.