Friday , 2 October 2026

Valencia CF vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
2 – 1
Full Time
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 13:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 14' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 23' 2–0
2–1 50' Sergio Arribas

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs UD Almeria — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Eliana Fernandez Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Blanco Rodriguez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb UD Almeria H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
14 Jan Cadiz CF A 4–1 W
02 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
19 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Valencia CF A 1–2 L
26 Jan Deportivo Alavés H 0–3 L
21 Jan Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
14 Jan Girona FC H 0–0 D
04 Jan CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
20 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Valencia CF have kicked off against UD Almeria. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marko Milovanovic made 166 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. UD Almeria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 14' Goal! Hugo Duro scores his 38 goal in 320 matches.
  • 19' It is a cagey affair so far. Valencia CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past UD Almeria's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 23' GOAL! Roman Yaremchuk scores on 23.
  • 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roman Yaremchuk on 24.
  • 25' Javier Guerra picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' Fresh legs for UD Almeria! Iddrisu Baba comes on to replace Cesar Montes.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' Spain international Alex Centelles has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 49' Valencia CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined UD Almeria backline.
  • 50' Sergio Arribas is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 55' Marc Pubill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Alex Centelles on 61 minutes earns him a Yellow card. UD Almeria will be frustrated.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Luka Romero. He replaces Leo Baptistao on 61 minute.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cristhian Mosquera on 62.
  • 64' UD Almeria player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 64' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Diego Lopez departs to be replaced by Fran Perez.
  • 66' Valencia CF player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 70' Jesus Vazquez Alcalde is replacing Javier Guerra for the Valencia CF side.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Anthony Lozano on 72 minutes.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hugo Guillamon on 73.
  • 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Marko Milovanovic. He replaces Chumi on 82 minute.
  • 87' Cristhian Mosquera has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' Selim Amallah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hugo Duro at the 90 minute mark.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Robertone on 90.
  • 2-1 the final result. UD Almeria will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF52% Draw25% UD Almeria23%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
77%
Draw or UD Almeria
48%
Valencia CF or UD Almeria
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF34% Draw45% UD Almeria21%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.