Valencia CF vs UD Almería, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Valencia CF vs UD Almería — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.
- Valencia CF 38 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almería 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Eliana Fernandez Gonzalez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Fabian Blanco Rodriguez (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | UD Almería | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Jan | Athletic Club | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Cadiz CF | A | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Jan | Villarreal CF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Valencia CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Deportivo Alaves | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Jan | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Girona FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Jan | CA Osasuna | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Dec | FC Barcelona | A | 2–3 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Valencia CF have kicked off against UD Almeria. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Valencia CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 14' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hugo Duro makes it 1-0.
- 19' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 23' Roman Yaremchuk makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Valencia CF are in front.
- 24' That is a Yellow card for Valencia CF. Roman Yaremchuk will be fuming at that decision.
- 25' Valencia CF player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 34' Iddrisu Baba gets the nod from UD Almeria. He replaces Cesar Montes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Almeria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
- 50' Brilliant from the ! Sergio Arribas makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 50.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Giorgi Mamardashvili made 14 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alex Centelles.
- 61' Fresh legs for UD Almeria! Luka Romero comes on to replace Leo Baptistao.
- 62' Poor challenge from Cristhian Mosquera. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Edgar Gonzalez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Fran Perez. He replaces Diego Lopez on 64 minute.
- 66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Cristhian Mosquera.
- 70' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Jesus Vazquez Alcalde on, Javier Guerra off on 70 minutes.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Anthony Lozano. He receives a Yellow card.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Hugo Guillamon. He receives a Yellow card.
- 78' Gonzalo Melero, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 82' Marko Milovanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chumi at the 82 minute mark.
- 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 90' The whistle greets Hugo Duro as he departs to be replaced by Selim Amallah.
- 90' Poor challenge from Lucas Robertone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Valencia CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 14
- 20
-
9
Hugo Duro ↓ Selim Amallah 90'
- 18
-
17
Roman Yaremchuk ↓ Alberto Mari 70'
- 25
- 6
- 15
- 3
- 8
-
16
Diego Lopez ↓ Fran Perez 64'
Bench
- 1
- 13
-
19
Selim Amallah ↑ 90'
- 27
-
21
Jesus Vazquez Alcalde ↑ 70'
- 31
- 11
-
23
Fran Perez ↑ 64'
-
22
Alberto Mari ↑ 70'
- 30
- 34
Coach
Ruben Baraja
UD Almería Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
12
Leo Baptistao ↓ Luka Romero 61'
- 3
- 20
- 25
-
22
Cesar Montes ↓ Iddrisu Baba 34'
- 6
- 7
- 19
-
11
Gonzalo Melero ↓ Anthony Lozano 61'
- 18
-
21
Chumi ↓ Marko Milovanovic 82'
Bench
- 16
-
–
Anthony Lozano ↑ 61'
- 17
- 1
- 13
- 10
-
4
Iddrisu Baba ↑ 34'
-
5
Lucas Robertone ↑ 82'
- –
-
38
Luka Romero ↑ 61'
- 14
-
29
Marko Milovanovic ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergio Arribas | 3 |
| Juan Brandariz | 2 |
| Srdan Babic | 2 |
| Samu Castillejo | 1 |
| Melero | 1 |
| Javier Guerra | 1 |
| Diego Lopez | 1 |
| Hugo Duro | 1 |
Head to Head
Valencia CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
UD Almería xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Valencia CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Valencia CF or Draw
77%
Draw or UD Almería
48%
Valencia CF or UD Almería
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Valencia CF
| Handicap | Valencia CF covers | Push | UD Almería covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

