FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018

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J. League · 2018

FC Tōkyō

3 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 28 Apr 2018 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-28 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2018-03-04 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2017-09-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō 2017-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tōkyō 2016-11-25 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–2	W
25 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	3–1	W
23 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	1–5	L
21 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–0	W
14 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
14 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Apr	FC Tōkyō	A	2–3	L
25 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–3	L
22 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
21 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	0–3	L
16 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
14 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō		Nagoya Grampus
#12	Position	#3
37	Points	31
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	46
42	Conceded	44
+13	GD	+2
2.06	PPG	1.72
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

8/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' The -year-old has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
20' FC Tōkyō are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
25' It’s high time Yahiro Kazama made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
30' Masato Morishige is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
35' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
45' Diego Oliveira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
55' FC Tōkyō are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
70' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tōkyō and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
85' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Sei Muroya has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' FC Tōkyō seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Tōkyō take all three points.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

22
Mitch Langerak
3
Kazuki Kushibiki
36
Willian Rocha
41
Yukinari Sugawara ↓ Yuki Kobayashi 46'
23
Ryota Aoki ↓ Yuki Oshitani 84'
29
Ryuji Izumi C
6
Kazuya Miyahara
10
Gabriel Xavier
14
Yosuke Akiyama ↓ Kenta Uchida 72'
9
Aria Hasegawa
7
Jo

Bench

Coach Yahiro Kazama

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Yasuki Kimoto	1
Kein Sato	1
Willian Rocha	1

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2018-04-28 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2018-04-23 Kashima Antlers 5–1 FC Tōkyō L 2018-04-21 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–1 FC Tōkyō W 2018-04-14 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2018-04-14 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 FC Tōkyō D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-04-28 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-04-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2018-04-22 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-04-21 Vissel Kobe 3–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-04-16 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2018-04-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.07 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō60% Draw18% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	86%	14%
± 3.5	71%	29%
± 4.5	54%	46%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

78%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

40%

FC Tōkyō or Nagoya Grampus

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō47% Draw32% Nagoya Grampus21%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.2%

3 – 1

6.2%

3 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 1

4.7%

4 – 1

4.7%

4 – 2

4.4%

1 – 2

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.5%

3 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	16%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	18%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	11%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.