Saturday , 15 August 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo, 2017

Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017
V-Varen Nagasaki
4 – 2
Full Time
FC Tokyo
Sun 11 Mar 2018 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

V-Varen Nagasaki 2.20
Draw 3.10
FC Tokyo 3.50

Head-to-Head

5
2
3
V-Varen Nagasaki 10 games · Avg 3.2 goals FC Tokyo
Last 5 meetings
2018-03-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–2 FC Tokyo 2017-10-21 FC Tokyo 3–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-03-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–0 FC Tokyo 2016-10-02 FC Tokyo 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2016-02-06 FC Tokyo 1–1 V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar FC Tokyo H 4–2 W
10 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
03 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 2–2 D
03 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–5 L
24 Feb Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
24 Feb Kawasaki Frontale H 3–2 W
FC Tokyo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–4 L
10 Mar Jubilo Iwata A 0–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
03 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 0–1 L
25 Feb Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–4 L
24 Feb Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Oliveira 3
Diego Oliveira 3
Keigo Higashi 1
Kensuke Nagai 1
Keita Nakamura 1
Shogo Nakahara 1
Juanma 1
Keigo Higashi 1

Head to Head

2018-03-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–2 FC Tokyo 2017-10-21 FC Tokyo 3–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-03-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–0 FC Tokyo 2016-10-02 FC Tokyo 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2016-02-06 FC Tokyo 1–1 V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2018-03-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–2 FC Tokyo W 2018-03-10 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2018-03-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2018-03-03 Kashiwa Reysol 5–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2018-02-24 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2018-02-24 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–2 Kawasaki Frontale W

FC Tokyo Form

2018-03-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–2 FC Tokyo L 2018-03-10 Jubilo Iwata 2–0 FC Tokyo L 2018-03-04 FC Tokyo 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-03-03 FC Tokyo 0–1 Vegalta Sendai L 2018-02-25 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4–0 FC Tokyo L 2018-02-24 FC Tokyo 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki55% Draw24% FC Tokyo21%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
79%
Draw or FC Tokyo
45%
V-Varen Nagasaki or FC Tokyo
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki38% Draw43% FC Tokyo19%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.