FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Tōkyō

1 – 0

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 4 Mar 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

FC Tokyo 0 games · 0 pts
Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Tōkyō 2.54

Draw 3.20

Nagoya Grampus 2.79

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 25 games · Avg 2.2 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-04 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2017-09-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō 2017-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tōkyō 2016-11-25 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2016-01-31 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–0	W
03 Mar	Vegalta Sendai	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–4	L
24 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–0	W
10 Feb	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–3	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	FC Tōkyō	A	0–1	L
03 Mar	Júbilo Iwata	H	1–0	W
24 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	3–2	W
23 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–0	D
18 Feb	Kashima Antlers	A	0–5	L
10 Feb	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	3–0	W

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tōkyō launch into their encounter with Nagoya Grampus.
1-0 the final result. Nagoya Grampus will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Keita Yamashita	1
Jo	1
Leandro	1

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2018-03-04 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-03 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Vegalta Sendai W 2018-02-25 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4–0 FC Tōkyō L 2018-02-24 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2018-02-18 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2018-02-10 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 FC Tōkyō L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-03-04 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-03-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2018-02-24 Gamba Osaka 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2018-02-18 Kashima Antlers 5–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.25 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo42% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus28%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.21

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

72%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

58%

FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo28% Draw52% Nagoya Grampus20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

13.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

1 – 2

6.1%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.4%

3 – 1

3.4%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.