Sunday , 16 August 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu FC, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sat 3 Mar 2018 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Tadashi Baba
  • Referee Minoru Tojo
  • Referee Toshiyuki Wazumi
  • Referee Hironori Tajima

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 2–2 D
03 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–5 L
24 Feb Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
24 Feb Kawasaki Frontale H 3–2 W
17 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
10 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–2 D
23 Feb Vissel Kobe H 1–1 D
23 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
17 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki H 0–0 D
11 Feb Shonan Bellmare A 5–2 W
06 Feb Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' V-Varen Nagasaki have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Kei Ikeda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
  • 45' V-Varen Nagasaki have won 49 goals from 188 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 50' V-Varen Nagasaki are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' Jung Seunghyun is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takuya Takagi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' Ryota Takasugi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • It finishes all square. V-Varen Nagasaki and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: V-Varen Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki41% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
68%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki29% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC26%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
26%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.