V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu FC, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tadashi Baba
- Referee Minoru Tojo
- Referee Toshiyuki Wazumi
- Referee Hironori Tajima
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Feb | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | A | 5–2 | W |
| 06 Feb | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against V-Varen Nagasaki and Sagan Tosu FC has kicked off!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Teppei Usui suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryota Takasugi, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' V-Varen Nagasaki started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroki Kawano made 279 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 50' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 60' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 65' It looks surprising V-Varen Nagasaki does not make any changes. Shuichi Gonda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 70' Hideto Takahashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 75' It’s high time Massimo Ficcadenti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 80' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 5
- 4
- 32
-
26
Teppei Usui ↓ Yusuke Maeda 86'
- 15
- 3
- 28
- 9
-
19
Takashi Sawada ↓ Choi Kyubaek 77'
-
11
Musashi Suzuki ↓ Keita Nakamura 65'
Bench
- 18
- 22
-
39
Choi Kyubaek ↑ 77'
-
20
Keita Nakamura ↑ 65'
-
6
Yusuke Maeda ↑ 86'
- 7
- 23
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 20
- 5
- 23
- 13
- 6
- 4
- 40
- 36
-
27
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Kei Ikeda 55'
- 9
Bench
- 8
- 3
- 14
-
7
Hiroki Kawano ↑ 74'
-
22
Kei Ikeda ↑ 55'
- 50
- 12
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hideto Takahashi | 1 |
| Riki Harakawa | 1 |
| Jung Seunghyun | 1 |
| Hideto Takahashi | 1 |
| Takashi Sawada | 1 |
| Musashi Suzuki | 1 |
| Takashi Sawada | 1 |
| Musashi Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
68%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.