Wales vs Ukraine, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
H2H
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.77
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Ukraine xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
78%
Draw or Ukraine
47%
Wales or Ukraine
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Ukraine covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.