Ukraine vs Poland, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.97
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Ukraine to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ukraine win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
85%
Draw or Poland
38%
Ukraine or Poland
77%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
Poland keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.