Ukraine vs Poland, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ukraine vs Poland — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Huseyin Gocek
- Referee Svein Oddvar Moen
- Referee Kim Haglund
- Referee Frank Andas
- Referee Ken Henry Johnsen
- Referee Svein Erik Edvartsen
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Poland | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Northern Ireland | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Jun | Germany | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 May | FC Bayern München | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | AS Roma | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Ukraine this season
Ukraine this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Poland this season
Poland this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Ukraine
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Ukraine
| Mykola Shaparenko | 1 G | 1 A |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 1 G |
Poland
| Krzysztof Piatek | 1 G |
| Adam Buksa | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Ukraine launch into their encounter with Poland.
- 5' Tomasz Jodlowiec needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Poland is showing some good football. However, Poland are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Adam Nawalka will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ruslan Rotan.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Oleksandr Kucher on 38 minutes.
- 43' Ukraine currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' Jakub Blaszczykowski gets the nod from Poland. He replaces Piotr Zielinski and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Ukraine are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 54' What a moment for Jakub Blaszczykowski! That strike on 54 puts his side firmly in control.
- 59' Kamil Glik has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' Bartosz Kapustka picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lukasz Fabianski made 341 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' Ruslan Rotan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 71' The whistle greets Bartosz Kapustka as he departs to be replaced by Kamil Grosicki.
- 73' Viktor Kovalenko is replacing Oleksandr Zinchenko for the Ukraine side.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 83' It looks surprising Ukraine does not make any changes. Bartosz Kapustka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' Poland come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 90' Ukraine make a change. Roman Zozulya trudges off to be replaced by Anatoliy Tymoshchuk on 90 minutes.
- 0-1 the final result. Ukraine will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 21
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 14
- 3
- 12
- 2
- 6
- 17
Bench
- 18
- 15
- 71
- 19
- 16
- 20
-
9
Viktor Kovalenko ↑ 73'
- 11
- 13
-
4
Anatoliy Tymoshchuk ↑ 90'
- 23
- 22
Coach
Mykhaylo Fomenko
Poland Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 15
- 9
- 19
- 7
- 4
- 3
- 2
- 10
- 21
- 6
Bench
- 12
-
11
Kamil Grosicki ↑ 71'
-
16
Jakub Blaszczykowski ↑ 46'
- 20
- 1
- 8
- 13
- 18
- 5
- 17
-
23
Filip Starzynski ↑ 90'
- 14
Coach
Adam Nawalka
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.76
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Poland or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Poland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.79
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
60%
Draw or Poland
74%
Ukraine or Poland
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
2.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.2%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 17% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 24% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.