Ukraine vs Italy, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 25 Nov Italy H 1–2 L 21 Nov Hungary A 1–0 W 18 Nov Sweden A 2–3 L 11 Nov England H 1–4 L 28 Oct Wales A 1–3 L 21 Oct Switzerland H 0–2 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 25 Nov Ukraine A 2–1 W 21 Nov Russia H 3–0 W 18 Nov Republic of Ireland H 7–0 W 11 Nov Portugal A 2–2 D 28 Oct Northern Ireland H 0–3 L 21 Oct Penistone Church FC A 0–0 D Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Italy Lineups
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H2H
Ukraine Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 31.14 Ukraine xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.53 Italy xGI would bet for: Ukraine or Italy 72%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.67Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 91% 9% ± 1.5 75% 25% ± 2.5 49% 51% ± 3.5 28% 72% ± 4.5 14% 86% Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw 56%Draw or Italy 72%Ukraine or Italy 72%Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13%0 – 1 9.6%0 – 0 8.9%1 – 2 Actual0 – 2 7.9%1 – 0 6.9%2 – 1 6.6%2 – 2 5.1%1 – 3 4.5%2 – 0 4.4%0 – 3 3.9%2 – 3 2.7%Asian Handicap — Ukraine
Handicap Ukraine covers Push Italy covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 8% 89% -1.5 11% — 89% -1 11% 16% 73% -0.5 27% — 73% +0.5 55% — 45% +1 55% 22% 23% +1.5 77% — 23% +2 77% 14% 9% +2.5 91% — 9% Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Italy keeps clean sheet 32% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.