Ukraine vs Belgium, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ukraine vs Belgium — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
11 games this season
🟨 3.9/game
⚽ 9.5 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Ukraine this season
Ukraine this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Ukraine
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Ukraine
| Mykola Shaparenko | 1 G | 1 A |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Mercedes-Benz Arena that hosts another battle between Ukraine and Belgium.
- 5' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ukraine must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' It’s high time Domenico Tedesco made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oleksandr Svatok suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Belgium is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Belgium seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ukraine side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wout Faes on 43.
- 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Oleksandr Zinchenko. He replaces Vitalii Mykolenko on 58 minute.
- 62' The crowd applauds Youri Tielemans as he leaves the pitch. Orel Mangala steps in for Belgium.
- 67' The travelling Belgium supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Artem Dovbyk on 69 minutes.
- 70' Ukraine ring the changes. Volodymyr Brazhko has done his job and it is now time for Taras Stepanenko to step up.
- 75' Mykola Shaparenko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 77' Another substitution for Belgium to replace Jeremy Doku by Johan Bakayoko on 77 minute.
- 81' Andrii Yarmolenko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oleksandr Svatok on 81 minute.
- 86' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 90' A change in the Belgium ranks — Romelu Lukaku exits the field as Lois Openda enters on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 16
- 19
- 9
- 3
- 24
- 11
- 12
- 13
- 14
- 22
- 18
Bench
-
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko ↑ 58'
-
7
Andrii Yarmolenko ↑ 81'
- 23
-
6
Taras Stepanenko ↑ 70'
- 26
- 20
- 21
-
25
Vladyslav Vanat ↑ 70'
- 2
- 4
- 5
-
8
Ruslan Malinovskiy ↑ 70'
- 1
Coach
Serhiy Rebrov
Belgium Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
10
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Lois Openda 90'
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Orel Mangala 62'
- 1
- 21
- 9
- 4
-
22
Jeremy Doku ↓ Johan Bakayoko 77'
- 24
- 3
Bench
-
20
Lois Openda ↑ 90'
- 13
-
18
Orel Mangala ↑ 62'
-
11
Yannick Carrasco ↑ 62'
- 12
- 16
- 17
- 25
- 2
-
19
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 77'
- 23
Coach
Domenico Tedesco
H2H
Head to Head
Ukraine Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Ukraine or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
70%
Draw or Belgium
64%
Ukraine or Belgium
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Belgium keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.