Ukraine vs Belgium, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ukraine vs Belgium — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
- Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Ukraine this season
Ukraine this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Ukraine
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Ukraine
| Mykola Shaparenko | 1 G | 1 A |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Belgium get us underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Belgium is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Ukraine in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past Belgium's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Belgium winning 0% of all matches.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Ukraine is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Belgium needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for Wout Faes.
- 48' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 53' Ukraine is showing some good football. However, Ukraine are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Oleksandr Zinchenko. He replaces Vitalii Mykolenko on 58 minute.
- 62' Another substitution for Belgium to replace Youri Tielemans by Orel Mangala on 62 minute.
- 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Artem Dovbyk on 69.
- 70' The Ukraine bench stirs into life. Volodymyr Brazhko is withdrawn and Taras Stepanenko gets his opportunity.
- 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ukraine and Belgium are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 77' Johan Bakayoko is replacing Jeremy Doku for the Belgium side.
- 81' Ukraine ring the changes. Oleksandr Svatok has done his job and it is now time for Andrii Yarmolenko to step up.
- 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' Another change for Belgium made on 90 minute. Romelu Lukaku leaves to be changed by Lois Openda.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 16
- 19
- 9
- 3
- 24
- 11
- 12
- 13
- 14
- 22
- 18
Bench
-
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko ↑ 58'
-
7
Andrii Yarmolenko ↑ 81'
- 23
-
6
Taras Stepanenko ↑ 70'
- 26
- 20
- 21
-
25
Vladyslav Vanat ↑ 70'
- 2
- 4
- 5
-
8
Ruslan Malinovskiy ↑ 70'
- 1
Coach
Serhiy Rebrov
Belgium Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
10
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Lois Openda 90'
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Orel Mangala 62'
- 1
- 21
- 9
- 4
-
22
Jeremy Doku ↓ Johan Bakayoko 77'
- 24
- 3
Bench
-
20
Lois Openda ↑ 90'
- 13
-
18
Orel Mangala ↑ 62'
-
11
Yannick Carrasco ↑ 62'
- 12
- 16
- 17
- 25
- 2
-
19
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 77'
- 23
Coach
Domenico Tedesco
H2H
Head to Head
Ukraine Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
Ukraine xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Ukraine or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
70%
Draw or Belgium
64%
Ukraine or Belgium
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Ukraine
| Handicap | Ukraine covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Belgium keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.